La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Ñublense v Universidad de Chile
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ñublense (Local)
Predicción 33.61%2.98momio equitativo
EV -0.516%
Ventaja -0.174%
Kelly -0.263%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.66%33.66%33.54%35.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.702.712.9640.82%37.10%36.90%33.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Universidad de Chile (Visitante)
Predicción 36.82%2.72momio equitativo
EV -0.599%
Ventaja -0.222%
Kelly -0.352%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.54%36.72%36.87%39.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.502.502.7043.48%39.99%40.00%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.58%3.38momio equitativo
EV -2.70%
Ventaja -0.820%
Kelly -1.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.78%29.62%29.59%31.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.633.083.103.2938.02%32.50%32.26%30.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.45%EV -0.516%E -0.174%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.81%EV -6.49%E -2.55%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.74%EV -4.47%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Pinnacle | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.43%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.31%EV -5.02%E -1.94%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.26%EV -2.70%E -0.820%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| FanDuel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -4.21%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -6.12%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -4.21%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -15.32%E -6.66%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -5.89%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.21%EV -2.44%E -0.920%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.52%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Bet Victor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.38%EV -5.89%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.66%EV -6.12%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.96%EV -7.73%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 21:28 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.89%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.96%E -3.18%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.49%EV -6.57%E -2.36%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.95%EV -7.23%E -2.87%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Betsson | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.49%EV -6.57%E -2.36%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.95%EV -7.23%E -2.87%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.35%EV -6.57%E -2.36%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.94%EV -7.59%E -3.03%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.71%EV -7.73%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| GTbets | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.54%EV -5.02%E -1.94%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.18%EV -4.47%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| BetMGM | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.96%E -3.18%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.96%E -3.18%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| BetUS | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -9.80%E -4.00%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| BetAnything | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -9.80%E -4.00%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -11.64%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.80%E -4.00%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| 888sport | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.64%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.64%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.64%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -9.80%E -4.00%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -14.23%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.62%EV -8.58%E -3.16%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.88%EV -8.70%E -3.51%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.62%EV -8.58%E -3.16%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.88%EV -8.70%E -3.51%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -9.25%E -3.43%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -4.28%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Bovada | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -9.25%E -3.43%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -6.12%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 21:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.25%E -3.43%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.96%E -3.18%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| Everygame | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -9.25%E -3.43%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -7.96%E -3.18%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Sky Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -9.25%E -3.43%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -9.80%E -4.00%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -14.23%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -10.94%E -4.13%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -6.12%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -10.94%E -4.13%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -9.80%E -4.00%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -10.94%E -4.13%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.96%EV -15.32%E -6.66%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Neds | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -11.61%E -4.41%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -11.64%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -11.61%E -4.41%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -11.64%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.81%EV -11.61%E -4.41%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.38%EV -15.32%E -6.66%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.81%EV -22.22%E -8.45%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -11.94%E -4.56%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.64%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -11.94%E -4.56%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.64%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -12.62%E -4.85%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -0.599%E -0.222%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -12.62%E -4.85%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -11.64%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -14.30%E -5.61%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -2.44%E -0.920%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -14.30%E -5.61%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -2.44%E -0.920%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -14.30%E -5.61%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -2.44%E -0.920%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -14.30%E -5.61%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -2.44%E -0.920%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| TABtouch | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -14.30%E -5.61%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -2.44%E -0.920%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -14.30%E -5.61%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.73%EV -3.18%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -15.98%E -6.39%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -4.28%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.58%EV -17.66%E -7.21%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.87%EV -7.96%E -3.18%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.55%EV -12.75%E -4.32%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.84% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.31% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.85% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.84% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.31% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.85% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.84% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.31% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.85% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.74% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.24% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.02% | 2.5% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| Kalshi | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.59% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.93% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |