Language:English
Ñublense v Universidad Católica (CHI)
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ñublense (Local)
Prediction 33.58%2.98fair odd
EV +7.45%
Edge +2.33%
Kelly +3.39%
Growth +0.253%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.02%33.33%33.53%35.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.752.753.2040.82%36.36%36.36%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visit)
Prediction 36.80%2.72fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -0.795%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.29%37.01%36.96%40.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.452.452.6643.48%40.83%40.82%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.62%3.38fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -0.682%
Kelly -0.978%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.46%29.66%29.51%30.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.063.103.3037.04%32.68%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ñublense (Local): 33.58%; Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visit): 36.80%; Draw: 29.62%. For Ñublense (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.98. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.45%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.02%EV +7.45%E +2.33%K +3.39%G +0.253% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.87%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -2.25%E -0.682%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 22:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -0.941%E -0.319%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 22:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -0.941%E -0.319%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -0.941%E -0.319%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 22:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -0.941%E -0.319%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 22:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -0.941%E -0.319%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -0.941%E -0.319%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 22:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -0.941%E -0.319%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -14.26%E -6.12%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -9.65%E -3.17%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-01 22:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -2.62%E -0.904%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -15.36%E -6.68%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -11.14%E -3.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-01 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.59%EV -4.30%E -1.51%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.12%EV -2.48%E -0.936%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.29%EV -6.40%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.59%EV -4.30%E -1.51%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.12%EV -2.48%E -0.936%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.29%EV -6.40%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 23:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.01%EV -4.97%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.19%EV -2.11%E -0.795%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.80%EV -4.32%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-01 23:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.32%EV -4.97%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.12%EV -6.53%E -2.57%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.56%EV -5.51%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-01 23:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.98%E -2.14%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 23:12 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.98%E -2.14%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-01 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -5.98%E -2.14%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -9.65%E -3.17%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-01 23:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -5.98%E -2.14%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -9.65%E -3.17%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-01 23:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -5.98%E -2.14%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -9.65%E -3.17%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-01 23:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -5.98%E -2.14%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-01 23:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.49%EV -6.99%E -2.52%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.12%EV -8.77%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 23:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.49%EV -6.99%E -2.52%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.12%EV -8.77%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 23:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.66%E -2.78%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-01 23:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.66%E -2.78%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-01 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -7.66%E -2.78%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-01 23:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -7.66%E -2.78%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -11.14%E -3.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 23:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -7.66%E -2.78%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -8.74%E -3.52%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-01 23:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.66%E -2.78%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-01 23:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -7.66%E -2.78%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.14%E -3.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-01 23:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -9.34%E -3.46%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -11.14%E -3.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-01 23:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -9.34%E -3.46%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-01 22:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.34%E -3.46%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.14%E -3.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-01 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -11.02%E -4.16%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 23:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -11.69%E -4.44%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -11.68%E -4.87%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-01 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -11.69%E -4.44%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -11.68%E -4.87%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-01 22:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -11.69%E -4.44%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -14.10%E -4.86%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-01 23:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -12.02%E -4.59%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.68%E -4.87%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-01 22:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -12.02%E -4.59%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.68%E -4.87%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-01 22:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -12.02%E -4.59%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -14.10%E -4.86%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-01 23:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -12.02%E -4.59%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -14.10%E -4.86%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-01 23:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -12.02%E -4.59%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -14.10%E -4.86%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-01 23:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -12.02%E -4.59%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -14.10%E -4.86%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-01 23:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.13%EV -12.02%E -4.59%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.74%EV -15.36%E -6.68%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.13%EV -11.73%E -3.94%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-01 23:24 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -12.69%E -4.88%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -15.36%E -6.68%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -11.14%E -3.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-03-01 23:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -14.37%E -5.64%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.15%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -9.65%E -3.17%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-01 23:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -16.05%E -6.42%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -11.14%E -3.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-01 23:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.19%EV -16.05%E -6.42%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.08%EV -15.36%E -6.68%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.73%EV -20.02%E -7.42%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 20.5% | 2026-03-01 23:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.09%EV -17.73%E -7.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 35.54%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.37%EV -18.54%E -6.74%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-03-01 23:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.58% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.04% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 1.3% | 2026-03-01 23:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.58% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.04% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 1.3% | 2026-03-01 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.58% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.04% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 1.3% | 2026-03-01 23:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.89% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.87% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.24% | 1.7% | 2026-03-01 23:24 |