L’École des cotes

Ñublense v Universidad Católica (CHI)

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 23:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ñublense (Local)

Prévision 33.58%2.98cote équitable
EV +7.45%
Avantage +2.33%
Kelly +3.39%
Croissance +0.253%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.02%33.33%33.53%35.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.752.753.2040.82%36.36%36.36%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.80%2.72cote équitable
EV -2.11%
Avantage -0.795%
Kelly -1.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.29%37.01%36.96%40.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.452.452.6643.48%40.83%40.82%37.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.62%3.38cote équitable
EV -2.25%
Avantage -0.682%
Kelly -0.978%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.46%29.66%29.51%30.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.063.103.3037.04%32.68%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 30.02%EV +7.45%E +2.33%K +3.39%G +0.253%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.87%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -2.25%E -0.682%K -0.978%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 22:59
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -0.941%E -0.319%K -0.483%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 22:59
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -0.941%E -0.319%K -0.483%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 23:00
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -0.941%E -0.319%K -0.483%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 22:59
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -0.941%E -0.319%K -0.483%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -0.941%E -0.319%K -0.483%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 22:59
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -0.941%E -0.319%K -0.483%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 22:59
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -0.941%E -0.319%K -0.483%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -14.26%E -6.12%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -9.65%E -3.17%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 22:59
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -2.62%E -0.904%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -15.36%E -6.68%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -11.14%E -3.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 22:59
BetOnline.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.59%EV -4.30%E -1.51%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.12%EV -2.48%E -0.936%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.29%EV -6.40%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 23:05
LowVig.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.59%EV -4.30%E -1.51%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.12%EV -2.48%E -0.936%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.29%EV -6.40%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 23:04
Pinnacle2.83I 35.34%NM 34.01%EV -4.97%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.19%EV -2.11%E -0.795%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.80%EV -4.32%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 23:14
GTbets2.83I 35.34%NM 33.32%EV -4.97%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.12%EV -6.53%E -2.57%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.56%EV -5.51%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 23:05
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.98%E -2.14%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 23:12
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.98%E -2.14%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 23:05
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -5.98%E -2.14%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -9.65%E -3.17%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-01 23:19
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -5.98%E -2.14%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -9.65%E -3.17%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-01 23:19
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -5.98%E -2.14%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -9.65%E -3.17%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-01 23:19
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -5.98%E -2.14%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 23:04
Marathon Bet2.77I 36.10%NM 33.49%EV -6.99%E -2.52%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.12%EV -8.77%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 23:09
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 33.49%EV -6.99%E -2.52%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.12%EV -8.77%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 23:14
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.66%E -2.78%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 23:04
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.66%E -2.78%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 22:59
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -7.66%E -2.78%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 23:04
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -7.66%E -2.78%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -11.14%E -3.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 23:09
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -7.66%E -2.78%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -8.74%E -3.52%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 23:04
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.66%E -2.78%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 23:04
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -7.66%E -2.78%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.14%E -3.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 23:04
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -9.34%E -3.46%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -11.14%E -3.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 23:10
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -9.34%E -3.46%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 22:59
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.34%E -3.46%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.14%E -3.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-01 23:00
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -11.02%E -4.16%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 23:04
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -11.69%E -4.44%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -11.68%E -4.87%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -11.69%E -4.44%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -11.68%E -4.87%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 22:59
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -11.69%E -4.44%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -14.10%E -4.86%K -7.42%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-01 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -12.02%E -4.59%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.68%E -4.87%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 22:59
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -12.02%E -4.59%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.68%E -4.87%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 22:59
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -12.02%E -4.59%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -14.10%E -4.86%K -7.42%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-01 23:04
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -12.02%E -4.59%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -14.10%E -4.86%K -7.42%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-01 23:04
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -12.02%E -4.59%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -14.10%E -4.86%K -7.42%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-01 23:04
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -12.02%E -4.59%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -14.10%E -4.86%K -7.42%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-01 23:09
Unibet (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.13%EV -12.02%E -4.59%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.74%EV -15.36%E -6.68%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.13%EV -11.73%E -3.94%K -5.92%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-01 23:24
Parions Sport (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -12.69%E -4.88%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -15.36%E -6.68%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -11.14%E -3.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-01 23:04
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -14.37%E -5.64%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.15%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -9.65%E -3.17%K -4.71%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-01 23:04
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -16.05%E -6.42%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -11.14%E -3.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-01 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.19%EV -16.05%E -6.42%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.08%EV -15.36%E -6.68%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.73%EV -20.02%E -7.42%K -11.78%G +0.000%20.5%2026-03-01 23:09
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 34.09%EV -17.73%E -7.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.54%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.37%EV -18.54%E -6.74%K -10.59%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-01 23:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.58%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.04%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-03-01 23:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.58%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.04%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-03-01 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.58%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.04%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-03-01 23:24
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 33.89%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.87%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.24%1.7%2026-03-01 23:24