La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Ñublense v Universidad Católica (CHI)
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ñublense (Local)
Predicción 33.58%2.98momio equitativo
EV +7.45%
Ventaja +2.33%
Kelly +3.39%
Crecimiento +0.253%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.02%33.33%33.53%35.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.752.753.2040.82%36.36%36.36%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visitante)
Predicción 36.80%2.72momio equitativo
EV -2.11%
Ventaja -0.795%
Kelly -1.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.29%37.01%36.96%40.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.452.452.6643.48%40.83%40.82%37.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.62%3.38momio equitativo
EV -2.25%
Ventaja -0.682%
Kelly -0.978%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.46%29.66%29.51%30.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.063.103.3037.04%32.68%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.02%EV +7.45%E +2.33%K +3.39%G +0.253% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.87%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -2.25%E -0.682%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 22:59 |
| BetRivers | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -0.941%E -0.319%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 22:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -0.941%E -0.319%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -0.941%E -0.319%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 22:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -0.941%E -0.319%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 22:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -0.941%E -0.319%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 22:59 |
| Unibet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -0.941%E -0.319%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 22:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -0.941%E -0.319%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -14.26%E -6.12%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -9.65%E -3.17%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-01 22:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -2.62%E -0.904%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -15.36%E -6.68%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -11.14%E -3.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-01 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.59%EV -4.30%E -1.51%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.12%EV -2.48%E -0.936%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.29%EV -6.40%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.59%EV -4.30%E -1.51%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.12%EV -2.48%E -0.936%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.29%EV -6.40%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 23:04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.01%EV -4.97%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.19%EV -2.11%E -0.795%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.80%EV -4.32%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-01 23:14 |
| GTbets | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.32%EV -4.97%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.12%EV -6.53%E -2.57%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.56%EV -5.51%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-01 23:05 |
| Bet Victor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.98%E -2.14%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 23:12 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.98%E -2.14%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-01 23:05 |
| Bovada | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -5.98%E -2.14%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -9.65%E -3.17%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-01 23:19 |
| BetUS | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -5.98%E -2.14%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -9.65%E -3.17%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-01 23:19 |
| BetAnything | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -5.98%E -2.14%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -9.65%E -3.17%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-01 23:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -5.98%E -2.14%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-01 23:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.49%EV -6.99%E -2.52%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.12%EV -8.77%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 23:09 |
| 1xBet | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.49%EV -6.99%E -2.52%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.12%EV -8.77%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 23:14 |
| DraftKings | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.66%E -2.78%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-01 23:04 |
| BetMGM | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.66%E -2.78%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-01 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -7.66%E -2.78%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-01 23:04 |
| FanDuel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -7.66%E -2.78%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -11.14%E -3.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 23:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -7.66%E -2.78%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -8.74%E -3.52%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-01 23:04 |
| Fanatics | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.66%E -2.78%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-01 23:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -7.66%E -2.78%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.14%E -3.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-01 23:04 |
| SportsBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -9.34%E -3.46%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -6.16%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -11.14%E -3.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-01 23:10 |
| Everygame | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -9.34%E -3.46%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-01 22:59 |
| Betway | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.34%E -3.46%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.14%E -3.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-01 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -11.02%E -4.16%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.21%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 23:04 |
| Neds | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -11.69%E -4.44%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -11.68%E -4.87%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-01 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -11.69%E -4.44%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -11.68%E -4.87%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-01 22:59 |
| Sky Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -11.69%E -4.44%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -14.10%E -4.86%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-01 23:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -12.02%E -4.59%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.68%E -4.87%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-01 22:59 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -12.02%E -4.59%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.68%E -4.87%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.17%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-01 22:59 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -12.02%E -4.59%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -14.10%E -4.86%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-01 23:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -12.02%E -4.59%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -14.10%E -4.86%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-01 23:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -12.02%E -4.59%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -14.10%E -4.86%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-01 23:04 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -12.02%E -4.59%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -14.10%E -4.86%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-01 23:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.13%EV -12.02%E -4.59%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.74%EV -15.36%E -6.68%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.13%EV -11.73%E -3.94%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-01 23:24 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -12.69%E -4.88%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -15.36%E -6.68%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -11.14%E -3.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-03-01 23:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -14.37%E -5.64%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.15%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -9.65%E -3.17%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-01 23:04 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -16.05%E -6.42%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -11.14%E -3.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-01 23:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.19%EV -16.05%E -6.42%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.08%EV -15.36%E -6.68%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.73%EV -20.02%E -7.42%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 20.5% | 2026-03-01 23:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.09%EV -17.73%E -7.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 35.54%EV -13.52%E -5.75%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.37%EV -18.54%E -6.74%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-03-01 23:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.58% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.04% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 1.3% | 2026-03-01 23:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.58% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.04% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 1.3% | 2026-03-01 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.58% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.04% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 1.3% | 2026-03-01 23:24 |
| Smarkets | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.89% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.87% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.24% | 1.7% | 2026-03-01 23:24 |