Language:English
Ñublense v O'Higgins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ñublense (Local)
Prediction 43.14%2.32fair odd
EV -5.08%
Edge -2.31%
Kelly -4.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.49%43.26%43.01%45.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.102.102.2050.51%47.61%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
O'Higgins (Visit)
Prediction 27.46%3.64fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -0.710%
Kelly -0.988%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.63%27.36%27.54%29.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.333.303.5533.33%30.04%30.30%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.40%3.40fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -0.907%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.76%29.38%29.45%30.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.103.153.3036.36%32.21%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ñublense (Local): 43.14%; O'Higgins (Visit): 27.46%; Draw: 29.40%. For O'Higgins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.55, with an expected value of -2.52%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.17%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.69%EV -5.81%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.14%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 19:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 04:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.76%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 15:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.60%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.89%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-20 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.86%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 11:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.86%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 11:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.84%EV -6.81%E -3.15%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.75%EV -2.79%E -0.789%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.41%EV -5.34%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 10:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 22:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-20 17:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 07:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.88%E -4.80%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.88%E -4.80%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 15:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.88%E -4.80%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 15:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.88%E -4.80%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 15:48 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.52%EV -7.67%E -3.58%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.92%EV -4.99%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 22:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.53%E -4.03%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.27%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 04:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.53%E -4.03%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.27%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 04:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -8.53%E -4.03%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -5.54%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 22:18 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -8.53%E -4.03%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.76%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.40%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -12.13%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -2.99%E -0.907%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-19 22:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.40%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -12.13%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -2.99%E -0.907%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 19:13 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.40%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -14.88%E -4.80%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-19 22:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -9.40%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -12.13%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-21 04:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.40%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-22 19:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.40%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -14.75%E -5.09%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-21 04:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.40%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -14.75%E -5.09%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-21 04:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.40%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -14.75%E -5.09%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-21 04:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.40%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -14.88%E -4.80%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-22 19:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.55%E -5.64%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.05%EV -11.55%E -5.64%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -13.50%E -4.29%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -10.34%E -3.39%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.55%E -5.64%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -12.13%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-20 06:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -12.85%E -6.36%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -2.52%E -0.710%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 19:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -12.85%E -6.36%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -2.52%E -0.710%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 19:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -12.85%E -6.36%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -2.52%E -0.710%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 19:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -12.85%E -6.36%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -2.52%E -0.710%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 19:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -12.85%E -6.36%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -2.52%E -0.710%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 19:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -12.85%E -6.36%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -2.52%E -0.710%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.49%EV -13.71%E -6.86%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -2.52%E -0.710%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -13.71%E -6.86%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -3.89%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-22 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.42%EV -13.71%E -6.86%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -12.13%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.44%EV -13.28%E -4.50%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.44%EV -13.71%E -6.86%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.29%EV -17.62%E -5.87%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.27%EV -14.75%E -5.09%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.77%EV -13.71%E -6.86%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.85%EV -17.62%E -5.87%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.38%EV -19.16%E -6.97%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-04-23 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.36%EV -14.57%E -7.36%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -3.89%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-18 19:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.70% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.16% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.15% | 10.0% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 42.31% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.02% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.67% | 17.0% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 42.87% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 24.27% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 32.86% | 26.8% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 42.87% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 24.27% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 32.86% | 26.8% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 42.87% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 24.27% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 32.86% | 26.8% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |