La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Ñublense v O'Higgins
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ñublense (Local)
Predicción 43.14%2.32momio equitativo
EV -5.08%
Ventaja -2.31%
Kelly -4.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.49%43.26%43.01%45.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.982.102.102.2050.51%47.61%47.62%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
O'Higgins (Visitante)
Predicción 27.46%3.64momio equitativo
EV -2.52%
Ventaja -0.710%
Kelly -0.988%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.63%27.36%27.54%29.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.333.303.5533.33%30.04%30.30%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.40%3.40momio equitativo
EV -2.99%
Ventaja -0.907%
Kelly -1.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.76%29.38%29.45%30.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.103.153.3036.36%32.21%31.75%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.17%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.69%EV -5.81%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.14%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 19:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 04:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.76%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 15:44 |
| Coolbet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.60%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.89%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-20 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.86%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 11:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.86%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 11:24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.84%EV -6.81%E -3.15%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.75%EV -2.79%E -0.789%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.41%EV -5.34%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 10:44 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |
| BetUS | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 22:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-20 17:34 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 07:09 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.88%E -4.80%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.88%E -4.80%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 15:45 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.88%E -4.80%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 15:49 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.88%E -4.80%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 15:48 |
| 1xBet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.52%EV -7.67%E -3.58%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.92%EV -4.99%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 22:25 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.53%E -4.03%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.27%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 04:30 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.53%E -4.03%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.27%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 04:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -8.53%E -4.03%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -5.54%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 22:18 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -8.53%E -4.03%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.76%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.40%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -12.13%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -2.99%E -0.907%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-19 22:10 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.40%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -12.13%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -2.99%E -0.907%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 19:13 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.40%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -14.88%E -4.80%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-19 22:10 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -9.40%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -12.13%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-21 04:34 |
| PlayUp | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.40%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-22 19:10 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.40%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -14.75%E -5.09%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-21 04:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.40%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -14.75%E -5.09%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-21 04:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.40%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -14.75%E -5.09%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-21 04:29 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.40%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -14.88%E -4.80%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-22 19:00 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.55%E -5.64%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.05%EV -11.55%E -5.64%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -13.50%E -4.29%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -10.34%E -3.39%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.55%E -5.64%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -12.13%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-20 06:54 |
| Unibet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -12.85%E -6.36%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -2.52%E -0.710%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 19:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -12.85%E -6.36%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -2.52%E -0.710%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 19:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -12.85%E -6.36%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -2.52%E -0.710%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 19:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -12.85%E -6.36%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -2.52%E -0.710%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 19:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -12.85%E -6.36%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -2.52%E -0.710%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 19:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -12.85%E -6.36%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -2.52%E -0.710%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.49%EV -13.71%E -6.86%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -2.52%E -0.710%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -13.71%E -6.86%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -3.89%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-22 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.42%EV -13.71%E -6.86%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -12.13%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.44%EV -13.28%E -4.50%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.44%EV -13.71%E -6.86%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.29%EV -17.62%E -5.87%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.27%EV -14.75%E -5.09%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.77%EV -13.71%E -6.86%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.85%EV -17.62%E -5.87%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.38%EV -19.16%E -6.97%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-04-23 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.36%EV -14.57%E -7.36%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -3.89%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-18 19:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.70% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.16% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.15% | 10.0% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.02I 49.50%NM 42.31% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.02% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.67% | 17.0% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 42.87% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 24.27% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 32.86% | 26.8% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 42.87% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 24.27% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 32.86% | 26.8% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 42.87% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 24.27% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 32.86% | 26.8% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |