L’École des cotes

Ñublense v O'Higgins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ñublense (Local)

Prévision 43.14%2.32cote équitable
EV -5.08%
Avantage -2.31%
Kelly -4.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.49%43.26%43.01%45.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.982.102.102.2050.51%47.61%47.62%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

O'Higgins (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.46%3.64cote équitable
EV -2.52%
Avantage -0.710%
Kelly -0.988%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.63%27.36%27.54%29.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.333.303.5533.33%30.04%30.30%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.40%3.40cote équitable
EV -2.99%
Avantage -0.907%
Kelly -1.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.76%29.38%29.45%30.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.103.153.3036.36%32.21%31.75%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
GTbets2.20I 45.45%NM 43.17%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.69%EV -5.81%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.14%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 19:45
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 04:35
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.76%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 15:44
Coolbet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.60%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.89%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 20:55
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 42.86%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:29
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 42.86%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:24
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 43.84%EV -6.81%E -3.15%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.75%EV -2.79%E -0.789%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.41%EV -5.34%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:05
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 10:44
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 22:05
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 22:04
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 22:55
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 17:34
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 07:09
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.88%E -4.80%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.88%E -4.80%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 15:45
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.88%E -4.80%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 15:49
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.88%E -4.80%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 15:48
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.52%EV -7.67%E -3.58%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.92%EV -4.99%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 22:25
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.53%E -4.03%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.27%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 04:30
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.53%E -4.03%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.27%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 04:30
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -8.53%E -4.03%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -5.54%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 22:18
Codere (IT)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -8.53%E -4.03%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.76%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 19:04
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.40%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -12.13%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -2.99%E -0.907%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 22:10
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.40%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -12.13%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -2.99%E -0.907%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 19:13
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.40%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -14.88%E -4.80%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 22:10
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -9.40%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -12.13%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 04:34
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.40%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 19:10
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.40%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -14.75%E -5.09%K -7.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-21 04:29
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.40%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -14.75%E -5.09%K -7.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-21 04:29
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.40%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -14.75%E -5.09%K -7.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-21 04:29
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.40%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -14.88%E -4.80%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-22 19:00
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.55%E -5.64%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-24 03:04
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.05%EV -11.55%E -5.64%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -13.50%E -4.29%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -10.34%E -3.39%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-19 22:55
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.55%E -5.64%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -12.13%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-20 06:54
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -12.85%E -6.36%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -2.52%E -0.710%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 19:20
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -12.85%E -6.36%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -2.52%E -0.710%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 19:20
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -12.85%E -6.36%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -2.52%E -0.710%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 19:20
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -12.85%E -6.36%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -2.52%E -0.710%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 19:20
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -12.85%E -6.36%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -2.52%E -0.710%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -12.85%E -6.36%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -2.52%E -0.710%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 19:20
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.49%EV -13.71%E -6.86%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -2.52%E -0.710%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 19:20
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -13.71%E -6.86%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -3.89%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-22 19:00
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.42%EV -13.71%E -6.86%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -12.13%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.44%EV -13.28%E -4.50%K -6.81%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-23 19:04
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.44%EV -13.71%E -6.86%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.29%EV -17.62%E -5.87%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.27%EV -14.75%E -5.09%K -7.76%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-19 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.77%EV -13.71%E -6.86%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.85%EV -17.62%E -5.87%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.38%EV -19.16%E -6.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%19.7%2026-04-23 19:05
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.36%EV -14.57%E -7.36%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -3.89%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 19:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 42.70%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.16%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.15%10.0%2026-04-24 03:45
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 42.31%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.02%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.67%17.0%2026-04-19 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 42.87%3.25I 30.77%NM 24.27%2.40I 41.67%NM 32.86%26.8%2026-04-23 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 42.87%3.25I 30.77%NM 24.27%2.40I 41.67%NM 32.86%26.8%2026-04-23 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 42.87%3.25I 30.77%NM 24.27%2.40I 41.67%NM 32.86%26.8%2026-04-23 22:10