Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ñublense v Huachipato

Kickoff: 2026-06-14 00:00 UTC

Final: Ñublense 2–2 Huachipato

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ñublense (Local)

Prediction 46.69%2.14fair odd
EV -4.29%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -4.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.11%46.78%46.69%49.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.971.992.0554.64%50.72%50.25%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Huachipato (Visit)

Prediction 24.51%4.08fair odd
EV +1.22%
Edge +0.296%
Kelly +0.391%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 4.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.54%24.41%24.54%26.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.713.654.1329.41%26.96%27.40%24.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.80%3.47fair odd
EV -4.96%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -2.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.83%28.81%28.77%30.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.183.203.3037.04%31.47%31.25%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ñublense (Local): 46.69%; Huachipato (Visit): 24.51%; Draw: 28.80%. For Huachipato (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.08. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.13, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.22%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.13%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.72%EV +1.22%E +0.296%K +0.391%G +0.005%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.15%EV -7.26%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-12 04:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.46%EV -7.09%E -3.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV +0.488%E +0.119%K +0.157%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 23:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.46%EV -7.09%E -3.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV +0.488%E +0.119%K +0.157%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 23:50
BetAnything🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.46%EV -7.09%E -3.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV +0.488%E +0.119%K +0.157%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 23:50
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.04%EV -4.75%E -2.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.52%EV -0.002%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -6.11%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-13 23:50
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.85%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.60%EV -0.247%E -0.061%K -0.081%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.55%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 23:41
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -1.96%E -0.491%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 23:50
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -10.82%E -5.67%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -1.96%E -0.491%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-13 04:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -14.56%E -7.96%K -17.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -1.96%E -0.491%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-13 23:41
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79%EV -7.55%E -3.82%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.51%EV -3.43%E -0.871%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -10.14%E -3.25%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-13 23:50
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 23:20
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.26%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -5.64%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-13 23:50
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.26%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -5.64%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-13 23:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-13 23:20
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-13 10:20
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 23:01
Codere (IT)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.37%EV -7.55%E -3.82%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.28%E -2.94%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-13 23:20
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-13 23:41
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.32%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 23:41
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -9.32%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-13 23:41
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -9.32%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-13 23:41
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -9.32%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-13 23:40
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.32%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 10:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.52%EV -8.49%E -4.33%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -10.54%E -2.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-13 23:20
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -10.54%E -2.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-13 23:41
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.77%E -3.27%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-13 23:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -11.77%E -3.27%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-13 23:41
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.77%E -3.27%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-13 23:40
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -10.82%E -5.67%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -11.77%E -3.27%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-13 21:01
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.82%E -5.67%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -11.77%E -3.27%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-13 23:40
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.77%E -3.27%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-13 21:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.77%E -3.27%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-13 21:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.77%E -3.27%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-13 21:31
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.29%EV -14.09%E -7.66%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.17%EV -11.77%E -3.27%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.53%EV -12.16%E -3.99%K -5.93%G +0.000%14.9%2026-06-13 23:30
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -12.99%E -3.66%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-13 23:30
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -12.99%E -3.66%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-13 23:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -12.99%E -3.66%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-13 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -12.99%E -3.66%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-13 23:30
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -12.99%E -3.66%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-13 23:30
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -14.22%E -4.06%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-13 23:30
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -14.22%E -4.06%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-13 23:41
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -14.22%E -4.06%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-13 23:41
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -14.22%E -4.06%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-13 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -14.22%E -4.06%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-13 23:41
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -10.82%E -5.67%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -14.22%E -4.06%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-13 10:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.39%EV -11.29%E -5.94%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -14.22%E -4.06%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.5%2026-06-13 23:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.81%EV -7.55%E -3.82%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -15.44%E -4.48%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-13 23:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -8.49%E -4.33%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -15.44%E -4.48%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-13 23:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 45.13%EV -14.56%E -7.96%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.29%EV -16.67%E -4.90%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.59%EV -22.24%E -8.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%21.1%2026-06-13 23:41
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.76%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-06-13 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50%1.2%2026-06-13 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50%1.2%2026-06-13 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50%1.2%2026-06-13 23:50
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50%1.2%2026-06-13 23:50
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.34%1.7%2026-06-13 23:41