L’École des cotes

Ñublense v Huachipato

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-14 00:00 UTC

Score final : Ñublense 2–2 Huachipato

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ñublense (Local)

Prévision 46.69%2.14cote équitable
EV -4.29%
Avantage -2.09%
Kelly -4.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.11%46.78%46.69%49.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.971.992.0554.64%50.72%50.25%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Huachipato (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.51%4.08cote équitable
EV +1.22%
Avantage +0.296%
Kelly +0.391%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 4.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.54%24.41%24.54%26.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.713.654.1329.41%26.96%27.40%24.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.80%3.47cote équitable
EV -4.96%
Avantage -1.50%
Kelly -2.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.83%28.81%28.77%30.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.183.203.3037.04%31.47%31.25%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 48.13%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.72%EV +1.22%E +0.296%K +0.391%G +0.005%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.15%EV -7.26%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-12 04:09
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.46%EV -7.09%E -3.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV +0.488%E +0.119%K +0.157%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 23:50
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.46%EV -7.09%E -3.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV +0.488%E +0.119%K +0.157%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 23:50
BetAnything1.99I 50.25%NM 47.46%EV -7.09%E -3.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV +0.488%E +0.119%K +0.157%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 23:50
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.04%EV -4.75%E -2.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.52%EV -0.002%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -6.11%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-13 23:50
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 46.85%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.60%EV -0.247%E -0.061%K -0.081%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.55%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 23:41
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -1.96%E -0.491%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 23:50
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -10.82%E -5.67%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -1.96%E -0.491%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-13 04:19
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -14.56%E -7.96%K -17.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -1.96%E -0.491%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-13 23:41
Marathon Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79%EV -7.55%E -3.82%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.51%EV -3.43%E -0.871%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -10.14%E -3.25%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-13 23:50
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 23:20
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.26%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -5.64%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-13 23:50
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 47.26%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -5.64%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-13 23:50
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-13 23:20
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-13 10:20
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 23:01
Codere (IT)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.37%EV -7.55%E -3.82%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.28%E -2.94%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-13 23:20
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-13 23:41
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.32%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 23:41
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -9.32%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-13 23:41
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -9.32%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-13 23:41
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -9.32%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-13 23:40
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.32%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 10:10
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.52%EV -8.49%E -4.33%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -10.54%E -2.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-13 23:20
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -10.54%E -2.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-13 23:41
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.77%E -3.27%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-13 23:20
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -11.77%E -3.27%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-13 23:41
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.77%E -3.27%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-13 23:40
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -10.82%E -5.67%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -11.77%E -3.27%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-13 21:01
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.82%E -5.67%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -11.77%E -3.27%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-13 23:40
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.77%E -3.27%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-13 21:30
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.77%E -3.27%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-13 21:30
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.77%E -3.27%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-13 21:31
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.29%EV -14.09%E -7.66%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.17%EV -11.77%E -3.27%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.53%EV -12.16%E -3.99%K -5.93%G +0.000%14.9%2026-06-13 23:30
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -12.99%E -3.66%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-13 23:30
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -12.99%E -3.66%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-13 23:30
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -12.99%E -3.66%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-13 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -12.99%E -3.66%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-13 23:30
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -12.99%E -3.66%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-13 23:30
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -14.22%E -4.06%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-13 23:30
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -14.22%E -4.06%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-13 23:41
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -14.22%E -4.06%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-13 23:41
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -14.22%E -4.06%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-13 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -14.22%E -4.06%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-13 23:41
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -10.82%E -5.67%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -14.22%E -4.06%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-13 10:10
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.39%EV -11.29%E -5.94%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -14.22%E -4.06%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.5%2026-06-13 23:20
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.81%EV -7.55%E -3.82%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -15.44%E -4.48%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-13 23:30
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -8.49%E -4.33%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -15.44%E -4.48%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-13 23:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 45.13%EV -14.56%E -7.96%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.29%EV -16.67%E -4.90%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.59%EV -22.24%E -8.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%21.1%2026-06-13 23:41
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.76%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-06-13 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50%1.2%2026-06-13 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50%1.2%2026-06-13 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50%1.2%2026-06-13 23:50
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50%1.2%2026-06-13 23:50
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.34%1.7%2026-06-13 23:41