A Escola das Odds

Ñublense v Huachipato

Início: 2026-06-14 00:00 UTC

Final: Ñublense 2–2 Huachipato

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Ñublense (Local)

Previsão 46.69%2.14odd justa
EV -4.29%
Vantagem -2.09%
Kelly -4.08%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.11%46.78%46.69%49.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.831.971.992.0554.64%50.72%50.25%48.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Huachipato (Visitante)

Previsão 24.51%4.08odd justa
EV +1.22%
Vantagem +0.296%
Kelly +0.391%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.13

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.54%24.41%24.54%26.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.403.713.654.1329.41%26.96%27.40%24.21%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.80%3.47odd justa
EV -4.96%
Vantagem -1.50%
Kelly -2.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.83%28.81%28.77%30.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.703.183.203.3037.04%31.47%31.25%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 48.13%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.72%EV +1.22%E +0.296%K +0.391%G +0.005%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.15%EV -7.26%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-12 04:09
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.46%EV -7.09%E -3.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV +0.488%E +0.119%K +0.157%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 23:50
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.46%EV -7.09%E -3.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV +0.488%E +0.119%K +0.157%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 23:50
BetAnything1.99I 50.25%NM 47.46%EV -7.09%E -3.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV +0.488%E +0.119%K +0.157%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 23:50
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.04%EV -4.75%E -2.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.52%EV -0.002%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -6.11%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-13 23:50
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 46.85%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.60%EV -0.247%E -0.061%K -0.081%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.55%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 23:41
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -1.96%E -0.491%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 23:50
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -10.82%E -5.67%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -1.96%E -0.491%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-13 04:19
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -14.56%E -7.96%K -17.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -1.96%E -0.491%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-13 23:41
Marathon Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79%EV -7.55%E -3.82%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.51%EV -3.43%E -0.871%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -10.14%E -3.25%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-13 23:50
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 23:20
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.26%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -5.64%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-13 23:50
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 47.26%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -5.64%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-13 23:50
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-13 23:20
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-13 10:20
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 23:01
Codere (IT)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.37%EV -7.55%E -3.82%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.28%E -2.94%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-13 23:20
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-13 23:41
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.32%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 23:41
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -9.32%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-13 23:41
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -9.32%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-13 23:41
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -9.32%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-13 23:40
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.32%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 10:10
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.52%EV -8.49%E -4.33%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -10.54%E -2.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-13 23:20
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -10.54%E -2.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-13 23:41
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.77%E -3.27%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-13 23:20
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -11.77%E -3.27%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-13 23:41
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.77%E -3.27%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-13 23:40
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -10.82%E -5.67%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -11.77%E -3.27%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-13 21:01
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.82%E -5.67%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -11.77%E -3.27%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-13 23:40
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.77%E -3.27%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-13 21:30
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.77%E -3.27%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-13 21:30
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.77%E -3.27%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-13 21:31
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.29%EV -14.09%E -7.66%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.17%EV -11.77%E -3.27%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.53%EV -12.16%E -3.99%K -5.93%G +0.000%14.9%2026-06-13 23:30
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -12.99%E -3.66%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-13 23:30
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -12.99%E -3.66%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-13 23:30
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -12.99%E -3.66%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-13 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -12.99%E -3.66%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-13 23:30
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -12.99%E -3.66%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-13 23:30
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -14.22%E -4.06%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-13 23:30
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -14.22%E -4.06%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-13 23:41
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -14.22%E -4.06%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-13 23:41
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -14.22%E -4.06%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-13 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -14.22%E -4.06%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-13 23:41
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -10.82%E -5.67%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -14.22%E -4.06%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-13 10:10
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.39%EV -11.29%E -5.94%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -14.22%E -4.06%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.5%2026-06-13 23:20
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.81%EV -7.55%E -3.82%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -15.44%E -4.48%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-13 23:30
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -8.49%E -4.33%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -15.44%E -4.48%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-13 23:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 45.13%EV -14.56%E -7.96%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.29%EV -16.67%E -4.90%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.59%EV -22.24%E -8.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%21.1%2026-06-13 23:41
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.76%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-06-13 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50%1.2%2026-06-13 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50%1.2%2026-06-13 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50%1.2%2026-06-13 23:50
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50%1.2%2026-06-13 23:50
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.34%1.7%2026-06-13 23:41