赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Ñublense v Deportes Concepción

开赛时间： 2026-08-30 00:00 UTC

最终结果： Ñublense 0–1 Deportes Concepción

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

39 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Ñublense (主队)

预测 43.15%2.32公平赔率
EV -3.78%
优势 -1.70%
Kelly -3.08%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.23

博彩公司预测分布
41.66%43.20%43.13%45.08%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.122.132.2350.00%47.10%46.95%44.84%最小值均值中位数最大值

Deportes Concepción (客队)

预测 26.11%3.83公平赔率
EV +0.506%
优势 +0.131%
Kelly +0.177%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 3.85

博彩公司预测分布
24.37%26.05%26.10%27.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.513.503.8530.30%28.47%28.57%25.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 30.75%3.25公平赔率
EV -3.45%
优势 -1.10%
Kelly -1.61%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.14

博彩公司预测分布
29.52%30.75%30.77%32.08%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.752.972.983.1436.36%33.63%33.56%31.85%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Ñublense (主队)：43.15%；Deportes Concepción (客队)：26.11%；平局：30.75%。 对于“Deportes Concepción (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.83。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.85，对应+0.506%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (39 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.01%EV -3.78%E -1.70%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.91%EV +0.506%E +0.131%K +0.177%G +0.001%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.08%EV -8.06%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 23:50
Pinnacle🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.54%EV -4.65%E -2.10%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.73%EV -2.37%E -0.633%K -0.863%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.74%EV -3.76%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 23:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -8.37%E -2.81%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 23:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.09%EV -5.94%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.52%EV -8.37%E -2.81%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 23:45
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 23:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 23:25
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 23:25
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 23:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -13.71%E -6.85%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -9.29%E -3.15%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 22:10
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 23:45
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 23:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 18:25
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.33%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 23:45
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.33%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 23:15
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.37%EV -12.85%E -6.36%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -7.33%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -9.29%E -3.15%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 23:25
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 23:49
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 23:54
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 22:09
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 20:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -13.71%E -6.85%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 23:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -13.71%E -6.85%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 23:25
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -8.53%E -4.02%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.94%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 20:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.53%EV -8.10%E -3.80%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -10.20%E -2.96%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.52%EV -3.45%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 23:15
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 23:15
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 17:34
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.47%EV -8.53%E -4.02%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 16:50
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 21:05
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.44%E -3.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 23:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.44%E -3.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 23:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.44%E -3.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 23:15
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.55%E -5.63%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 20:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -11.55%E -5.63%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -15.44%E -5.61%K -8.82%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-29 23:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.44%E -3.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 17:45
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.44%E -3.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 17:45
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.75%E -4.09%K -6.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.75%E -4.09%K -6.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 17:44
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-29 20:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -11.55%E -5.63%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-29 23:45
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.65%1.0%2026-08-29 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 43.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68%1.9%2026-08-29 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 43.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68%1.9%2026-08-29 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 43.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68%1.9%2026-08-29 23:55