Idioma:Español
Ñublense v Deportes Concepción
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ñublense (Local)
Predicción 43.15%2.32momio equitativo
EV -3.78%
Ventaja -1.70%
Kelly -3.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.66%43.20%43.13%45.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.122.132.2350.00%47.10%46.95%44.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Deportes Concepción (Visitante)
Predicción 26.11%3.83momio equitativo
EV +0.506%
Ventaja +0.131%
Kelly +0.177%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.37%26.05%26.10%27.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.513.503.8530.30%28.47%28.57%25.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 30.75%3.25momio equitativo
EV -3.45%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -1.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.52%30.75%30.77%32.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.972.983.1436.36%33.63%33.56%31.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Ñublense (Local): 43.15%; Deportes Concepción (Visitante): 26.11%; Empate: 30.75%. Para Deportes Concepción (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.83. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.85, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.506%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.01%EV -3.78%E -1.70%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.91%EV +0.506%E +0.131%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.08%EV -8.06%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 23:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.54%EV -4.65%E -2.10%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.73%EV -2.37%E -0.633%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.74%EV -3.76%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 23:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -8.37%E -2.81%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 23:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.09%EV -5.94%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.52%EV -8.37%E -2.81%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 23:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 23:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 23:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 23:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 23:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 23:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -13.71%E -6.85%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -9.29%E -3.15%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 22:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 23:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 23:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.33%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 23:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.33%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 23:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.37%EV -12.85%E -6.36%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -7.33%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -9.29%E -3.15%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 23:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 23:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 23:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 22:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -13.71%E -6.85%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-29 23:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -13.71%E -6.85%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-29 23:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -8.53%E -4.02%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.94%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 20:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.53%EV -8.10%E -3.80%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -10.20%E -2.96%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.52%EV -3.45%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 23:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 23:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 17:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.47%EV -8.53%E -4.02%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 21:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.44%E -3.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 23:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.44%E -3.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 23:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.44%E -3.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 23:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.55%E -5.63%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -11.55%E -5.63%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -15.44%E -5.61%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-29 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.44%E -3.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 17:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.44%E -3.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 17:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.75%E -4.09%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.75%E -4.09%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 17:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -11.55%E -5.63%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-29 23:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.65% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68% | 1.9% | 2026-08-29 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68% | 1.9% | 2026-08-29 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68% | 1.9% | 2026-08-29 23:55 |