Langue:Français
Ñublense v Deportes Concepción
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ñublense (Local)
Prévision 43.15%2.32cote équitable
EV -3.78%
Avantage -1.70%
Kelly -3.08%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.23
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.66%43.20%43.13%45.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.122.132.2350.00%47.10%46.95%44.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Deportes Concepción (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.11%3.83cote équitable
EV +0.506%
Avantage +0.131%
Kelly +0.177%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 3.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.37%26.05%26.10%27.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.513.503.8530.30%28.47%28.57%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 30.75%3.25cote équitable
EV -3.45%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -1.61%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.14
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.52%30.75%30.77%32.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.972.983.1436.36%33.63%33.56%31.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ñublense (Local) : 43.15% ; Deportes Concepción (Visiteur) : 26.11% ; Match nul : 30.75%. Pour Deportes Concepción (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.83. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.85, soit une espérance positive de +0.506%.
Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.01%EV -3.78%E -1.70%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.91%EV +0.506%E +0.131%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.08%EV -8.06%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 23:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.54%EV -4.65%E -2.10%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.73%EV -2.37%E -0.633%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.74%EV -3.76%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 23:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -8.37%E -2.81%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 23:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.09%EV -5.94%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.52%EV -8.37%E -2.81%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 23:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 23:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 23:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 23:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 23:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 23:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -13.71%E -6.85%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -9.29%E -3.15%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 22:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 23:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 23:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.33%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 23:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.33%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 23:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.37%EV -12.85%E -6.36%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -7.33%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -9.29%E -3.15%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 23:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 23:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 23:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 22:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -13.71%E -6.85%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-29 23:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -13.71%E -6.85%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-29 23:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -8.53%E -4.02%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.94%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 20:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.53%EV -8.10%E -3.80%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -10.20%E -2.96%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.52%EV -3.45%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 23:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 23:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 17:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.47%EV -8.53%E -4.02%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 21:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.44%E -3.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 23:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.44%E -3.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 23:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.44%E -3.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 23:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.55%E -5.63%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -11.55%E -5.63%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -15.44%E -5.61%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-29 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.44%E -3.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 17:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.44%E -3.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 17:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.75%E -4.09%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.75%E -4.09%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 17:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -11.55%E -5.63%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-29 23:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.65% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68% | 1.9% | 2026-08-29 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68% | 1.9% | 2026-08-29 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68% | 1.9% | 2026-08-29 23:55 |