StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Ñublense v Deportes Concepción

Matchstart: 2026-08-30 00:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Ñublense 0–1 Deportes Concepción

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

39 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Ñublense (Hemma)

Prognos 43.15%2.32rättvist odds
EV -3.78%
Fördel -1.70%
Kelly -3.08%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.23

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
41.66%43.20%43.13%45.08%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.002.122.132.2350.00%47.10%46.95%44.84%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Deportes Concepción (Borta)

Prognos 26.11%3.83rättvist odds
EV +0.506%
Fördel +0.131%
Kelly +0.177%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.85

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.37%26.05%26.10%27.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.513.503.8530.30%28.47%28.57%25.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 30.75%3.25rättvist odds
EV -3.45%
Fördel -1.10%
Kelly -1.61%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.14

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.52%30.75%30.77%32.08%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.752.972.983.1436.36%33.63%33.56%31.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Ñublense (Hemma): 43.15%; Deportes Concepción (Borta): 26.11%; Oavgjort: 30.75%. För Deportes Concepción (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.83. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.85, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.506%.

Spelbolagsodds (39 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.01%EV -3.78%E -1.70%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.91%EV +0.506%E +0.131%K +0.177%G +0.001%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.08%EV -8.06%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 23:50
Pinnacle🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.54%EV -4.65%E -2.10%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.73%EV -2.37%E -0.633%K -0.863%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.74%EV -3.76%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 23:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -8.37%E -2.81%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 23:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.09%EV -5.94%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.52%EV -8.37%E -2.81%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 23:45
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 23:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 23:25
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 23:25
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 23:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -13.71%E -6.85%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -9.29%E -3.15%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 22:10
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 23:45
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 23:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 18:25
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.33%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 23:45
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.33%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 23:15
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.37%EV -12.85%E -6.36%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -7.33%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -9.29%E -3.15%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 23:25
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 23:49
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 23:54
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 22:09
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 20:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -13.71%E -6.85%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 23:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -13.71%E -6.85%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 23:25
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -8.53%E -4.02%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.94%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 20:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.53%EV -8.10%E -3.80%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -10.20%E -2.96%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.52%EV -3.45%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 23:15
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.75%E -2.58%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 23:15
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 17:34
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.47%EV -8.53%E -4.02%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 16:50
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 21:05
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.44%E -3.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 23:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.44%E -3.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 23:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.44%E -3.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 23:15
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.55%E -5.63%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 20:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -11.55%E -5.63%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -15.44%E -5.61%K -8.82%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-29 23:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.44%E -3.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 17:45
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.44%E -3.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 17:45
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.75%E -4.09%K -6.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.75%E -4.09%K -6.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 17:44
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-29 20:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -11.55%E -5.63%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -10.83%E -3.73%K -5.70%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-29 23:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.65%1.0%2026-08-29 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 43.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68%1.9%2026-08-29 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 43.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68%1.9%2026-08-29 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 43.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68%1.9%2026-08-29 23:55