Language:English
La Serena v Universidad de Chile
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
La Serena (Local)
Prediction 25.49%3.92fair odd
EV +5.78%
Edge +1.39%
Kelly +1.83%
Growth +0.106%
assuming max odds 4.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.16%25.29%25.49%26.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.623.604.1530.30%27.59%27.78%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Universidad de Chile (Visit)
Prediction 48.81%2.05fair odd
EV -4.33%
Edge -2.21%
Kelly -4.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.45%49.00%48.74%51.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.881.881.9657.14%53.26%53.19%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.70%3.89fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.548%
Kelly -0.743%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.77%25.71%25.77%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.553.553.8129.41%28.16%28.17%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: La Serena (Local): 25.49%; Universidad de Chile (Visit): 48.81%; Draw: 25.70%. For La Serena (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.92. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.78%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.16%EV +5.78%E +1.39%K +1.83%G +0.106% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.86%EV -7.74%E -4.10%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-13 12:01 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.45%EV +0.168%E +0.043%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.79%EV -5.79%E -3.00%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.76%EV -4.14%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -0.597%E -0.153%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -14.58%E -8.33%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 17:46 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.77%EV -1.62%E -0.419%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.80%EV -6.28%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.43%EV -3.37%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.15%E -0.828%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -7.74%E -4.10%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 09:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.15%E -0.828%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -8.23%E -4.38%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 09:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.15%E -0.828%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -8.23%E -4.38%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 09:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.15%E -0.828%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -8.23%E -4.38%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 09:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.15%E -0.828%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -8.23%E -4.38%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 09:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -3.15%E -0.828%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -8.72%E -4.66%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -3.91%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.28%EV -4.81%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.22%EV -2.09%E -0.548%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-13 17:51 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.28%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-13 17:56 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.28%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.30%EV -6.71%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.23%E -4.38%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.44%EV -6.46%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -6.97%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.51%EV -4.81%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -6.97%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.04%EV -4.33%E -2.21%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -6.97%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.23%E -4.38%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -6.97%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.23%E -4.38%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.04%EV -4.33%E -2.21%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.04%EV -4.33%E -2.21%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -5.79%E -3.00%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 17:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -5.79%E -3.00%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 17:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -8.23%E -4.38%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -3.63%E -0.968%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-13 17:46 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -7.74%E -4.10%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -7.74%E -4.10%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 17:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -7.74%E -4.10%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -11.16%E -6.13%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.51%EV -11.65%E -6.44%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 09:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.46%EV -12.14%E -6.74%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-13 09:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.46%EV -12.14%E -6.74%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-13 09:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -8.23%E -4.38%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 17:46 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-13 17:46 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-13 17:46 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-13 17:46 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-13 17:46 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -10.67%E -5.83%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -12.07%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -8.23%E -4.38%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -12.07%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.74%EV -10.18%E -5.53%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -12.07%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.75%EV -12.14%E -6.74%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -13.34%E -3.92%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -15.89%E -4.82%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -10.67%E -5.83%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32% | 1.3% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32% | 1.3% | 2026-09-13 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.25% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.25% | 1.5% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.04% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-09-13 17:51 |