Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

La Serena v Universidad de Chile

Início: 2026-09-13 18:01 UTC

Final: La Serena 0–3 Universidad de Chile

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

La Serena (Local)

Previsão 25.49%3.92odd justa
EV +5.78%
Vantagem +1.39%
Kelly +1.83%
Crescimento +0.106%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.16%25.29%25.49%26.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.623.604.1530.30%27.59%27.78%24.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Universidad de Chile (Visitante)

Previsão 48.81%2.05odd justa
EV -4.33%
Vantagem -2.21%
Kelly -4.51%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.45%49.00%48.74%51.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.881.881.9657.14%53.26%53.19%51.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.70%3.89odd justa
EV -2.09%
Vantagem -0.548%
Kelly -0.743%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.77%25.71%25.77%26.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.553.553.8129.41%28.16%28.17%26.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: La Serena (Local): 25.49%; Universidad de Chile (Visitante): 48.81%; Empate: 25.70%. Para La Serena (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.92. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.15, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.78%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 23.16%EV +5.78%E +1.39%K +1.83%G +0.106%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.86%EV -7.74%E -4.10%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 12:01
1xBet🎯3.93I 25.45%NM 24.45%EV +0.168%E +0.043%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.79%EV -5.79%E -3.00%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.76%EV -4.14%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 17:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -0.597%E -0.153%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -14.58%E -8.33%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 17:46
GTbets🎯3.86I 25.91%NM 24.77%EV -1.62%E -0.419%K -0.565%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.80%EV -6.28%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.43%EV -3.37%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 17:45
Unibet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.15%E -0.828%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -7.74%E -4.10%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 09:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.15%E -0.828%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -8.23%E -4.38%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 09:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.15%E -0.828%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -8.23%E -4.38%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 09:45
Grosvenor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.15%E -0.828%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -8.23%E -4.38%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 09:45
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.15%E -0.828%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -8.23%E -4.38%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 09:45
FanDuel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -3.15%E -0.828%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -8.72%E -4.66%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 17:45
Pinnacle🎯3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -3.91%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.28%EV -4.81%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.22%EV -2.09%E -0.548%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 17:51
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 17:45
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.28%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 17:56
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.28%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.66I 27.32%NM 25.30%EV -6.71%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.23%E -4.38%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.44%EV -6.46%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 17:45
DraftKings🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -6.97%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.51%EV -4.81%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 17:45
BetAnything🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -6.97%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.04%EV -4.33%E -2.21%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 17:45
Bovada🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -6.97%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.23%E -4.38%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 17:45
BetUS🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -6.97%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.23%E -4.38%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.04%EV -4.33%E -2.21%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.04%EV -4.33%E -2.21%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 17:55
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -5.79%E -3.00%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 17:50
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -5.79%E -3.00%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 17:49
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -8.23%E -4.38%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -3.63%E -0.968%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 17:46
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:55
SportsBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -7.74%E -4.10%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 17:55
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -7.74%E -4.10%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 17:30
Codere (IT)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -7.74%E -4.10%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 17:45
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -11.16%E -6.13%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 18:10
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.51%EV -11.65%E -6.44%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 09:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.46%EV -12.14%E -6.74%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 09:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.46%EV -12.14%E -6.74%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 09:45
Winamax (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -8.23%E -4.38%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 17:46
PlayUp🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 17:55
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 17:55
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 17:55
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 17:46
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 17:45
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 17:46
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 17:46
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 17:46
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -10.67%E -5.83%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-13 17:55
LeoVegas🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -12.07%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -8.23%E -4.38%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 17:45
Winamax (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -12.07%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.74%EV -10.18%E -5.53%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 17:45
Unibet (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -12.07%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.75%EV -12.14%E -6.74%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-13 17:45
betfred_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -13.34%E -3.92%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 17:55
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -15.89%E -4.82%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -10.67%E -5.83%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-13 17:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%1.0%2026-09-13 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%1.0%2026-09-13 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32%1.3%2026-09-13 17:55
Matchbook◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32%1.3%2026-09-13 17:50
Smarkets◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.25%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.25%1.5%2026-09-13 17:55
Kalshi◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-09-13 17:51