Idioma:Español
La Serena v Universidad de Chile
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
La Serena (Local)
Predicción 25.49%3.92momio equitativo
EV +5.78%
Ventaja +1.39%
Kelly +1.83%
Crecimiento +0.106%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.16%25.29%25.49%26.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.623.604.1530.30%27.59%27.78%24.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Universidad de Chile (Visitante)
Predicción 48.81%2.05momio equitativo
EV -4.33%
Ventaja -2.21%
Kelly -4.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.45%49.00%48.74%51.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.751.881.881.9657.14%53.26%53.19%51.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.70%3.89momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -0.548%
Kelly -0.743%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.77%25.71%25.77%26.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.553.553.8129.41%28.16%28.17%26.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: La Serena (Local): 25.49%; Universidad de Chile (Visitante): 48.81%; Empate: 25.70%. Para La Serena (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.92. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.15, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.78%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.16%EV +5.78%E +1.39%K +1.83%G +0.106% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.86%EV -7.74%E -4.10%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-13 12:01 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.45%EV +0.168%E +0.043%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.79%EV -5.79%E -3.00%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.76%EV -4.14%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -0.597%E -0.153%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -14.58%E -8.33%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 17:46 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.77%EV -1.62%E -0.419%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.80%EV -6.28%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.43%EV -3.37%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.15%E -0.828%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -7.74%E -4.10%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 09:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.15%E -0.828%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -8.23%E -4.38%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 09:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.15%E -0.828%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -8.23%E -4.38%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 09:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.15%E -0.828%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -8.23%E -4.38%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 09:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.15%E -0.828%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -8.23%E -4.38%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 09:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -3.15%E -0.828%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -8.72%E -4.66%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -3.91%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.28%EV -4.81%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.22%EV -2.09%E -0.548%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-13 17:51 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.28%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-13 17:56 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.28%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.30%EV -6.71%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.23%E -4.38%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.44%EV -6.46%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -6.97%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.51%EV -4.81%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -6.97%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.04%EV -4.33%E -2.21%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -6.97%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.23%E -4.38%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -6.97%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.23%E -4.38%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.04%EV -4.33%E -2.21%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.04%EV -4.33%E -2.21%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -5.79%E -3.00%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 17:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -5.79%E -3.00%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 17:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -8.23%E -4.38%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -3.63%E -0.968%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-13 17:46 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -7.74%E -4.10%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -7.74%E -4.10%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 17:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -7.74%E -4.10%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -11.16%E -6.13%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.51%EV -11.65%E -6.44%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 09:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.46%EV -12.14%E -6.74%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-13 09:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.46%EV -12.14%E -6.74%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-13 09:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -8.23%E -4.38%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 17:46 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-13 17:46 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-13 17:46 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-13 17:46 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-13 17:46 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -10.67%E -5.83%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -12.07%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -8.23%E -4.38%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -12.07%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.74%EV -10.18%E -5.53%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -12.07%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.75%EV -12.14%E -6.74%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -13.34%E -3.92%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -15.89%E -4.82%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -10.67%E -5.83%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32% | 1.3% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32% | 1.3% | 2026-09-13 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.25% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.25% | 1.5% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.04% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-09-13 17:51 |