A Escola das Odds

La Serena v Union La Calera

Início: 2026-03-06 21:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

La Serena (Local)

Previsão 46.17%2.17odd justa
EV +2.96%
Vantagem +1.33%
Kelly +2.40%
Crescimento +0.071%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.20%46.05%45.94%48.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.782.002.002.2356.18%50.01%50.13%44.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Union La Calera (Visitante)

Previsão 24.95%4.01odd justa
EV +0.042%
Vantagem +0.011%
Kelly +0.014%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.03%25.04%25.05%29.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.623.604.0132.26%27.63%27.78%24.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.88%3.46odd justa
EV -1.80%
Vantagem -0.528%
Kelly -0.748%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.14%28.91%29.01%30.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.143.153.4036.36%31.80%31.75%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV +2.96%E +1.33%K +2.40%G +0.071%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -22.66%E -7.31%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-06 20:10
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.54%EV +2.03%E +0.919%K +1.68%G +0.034%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.29%EV -8.69%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.17%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 20:45
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -0.277%E -0.128%K -0.238%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -18.92%E -5.82%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-06 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -0.277%E -0.128%K -0.238%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -18.92%E -5.82%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-06 20:55
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -0.277%E -0.128%K -0.238%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -18.92%E -5.82%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-06 20:55
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -0.277%E -0.128%K -0.238%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -18.92%E -5.82%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-06 20:55
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -0.277%E -0.128%K -0.238%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -18.92%E -5.82%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-06 20:55
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -1.20%E -0.561%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -18.92%E -5.82%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-06 20:55
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.83%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00%EV -3.95%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.17%EV -4.68%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 20:55
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.65%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -20.17%E -6.30%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -11.91%E -3.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-06 20:55
Unibet (FR)2.06I 48.54%NM 42.64%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -21.41%E -6.80%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.48%EV -13.93%E -4.67%K -7.03%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-06 20:40
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 20:55
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 20:55
Codere (IT)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -6.74%E -3.34%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 20:55
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -7.20%E -3.58%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.96%EV +0.042%E +0.011%K +0.014%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.25%EV -1.80%E -0.528%K -0.748%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 20:50
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.22%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.16%EV -2.45%E -0.627%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -4.68%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 20:55
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -3.95%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -4.68%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 20:55
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.13%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 20:49
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -7.69%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.13%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 20:50
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.69%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 20:55
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.69%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 20:55
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 20:50
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.13%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-06 20:55
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 20:50
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-06 20:55
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.69%EV -8.13%E -4.08%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -0.207%E -0.052%K -0.069%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.58%EV -4.11%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 20:55
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.69%EV -8.13%E -4.08%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -0.207%E -0.052%K -0.069%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.58%EV -4.11%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 20:55
Marathon Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.28%EV -9.51%E -4.85%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -2.70%E -0.693%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 20:55
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -0.207%E -0.052%K -0.069%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 20:55
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -0.207%E -0.052%K -0.069%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 20:55
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-06 20:55
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-06 20:54
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-06 20:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-06 20:50
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-06 20:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-06 20:55
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.35%E -4.45%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-06 20:50
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.35%E -4.45%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-06 20:50
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.35%E -4.45%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-06 20:50
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.35%EV -10.43%E -5.38%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -16.42%E -4.90%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-06 20:55
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-06 20:55
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -11.36%E -5.92%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -1.45%E -0.368%K -0.493%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.13%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 20:55
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -11.36%E -5.92%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -1.45%E -0.368%K -0.493%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.13%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 20:55
Parions Sport (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.75%EV -11.36%E -5.92%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -13.93%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -11.91%E -3.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-06 20:55
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -11.82%E -6.19%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -13.35%E -4.45%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 20:55
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -11.82%E -6.19%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -13.35%E -4.45%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-06 20:55
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -11.82%E -6.19%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-06 20:55
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -14.59%E -7.89%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -2.70%E -0.693%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-06 20:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 45.70%EV -15.51%E -8.48%K -18.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.89%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.41%EV -20.57%E -7.48%K -11.75%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-06 20:55
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 47.19%EV -17.82%E -10.01%K -22.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.33%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.47%EV -17.68%E -6.20%K -9.56%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-06 20:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%1.7%2026-03-06 20:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%1.7%2026-03-06 20:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%1.7%2026-03-06 20:50
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%3.1%2026-03-06 20:55