La escuela de los momiosEspañol
La Serena v Union La Calera
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
La Serena (Local)
Predicción 46.17%2.17momio equitativo
EV +2.96%
Ventaja +1.33%
Kelly +2.40%
Crecimiento +0.071%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.20%46.05%45.94%48.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.782.002.002.2356.18%50.01%50.13%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Union La Calera (Visitante)
Predicción 24.95%4.01momio equitativo
EV +0.042%
Ventaja +0.011%
Kelly +0.014%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.01
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.03%25.04%25.05%29.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.623.604.0132.26%27.63%27.78%24.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.88%3.46momio equitativo
EV -1.80%
Ventaja -0.528%
Kelly -0.748%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.14%28.91%29.01%30.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.143.153.4036.36%31.80%31.75%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV +2.96%E +1.33%K +2.40%G +0.071% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -22.66%E -7.31%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 20:10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.54%EV +2.03%E +0.919%K +1.68%G +0.034% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.29%EV -8.69%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.17%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -0.277%E -0.128%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -18.92%E -5.82%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -0.277%E -0.128%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -18.92%E -5.82%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -0.277%E -0.128%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -18.92%E -5.82%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Unibet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -0.277%E -0.128%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -18.92%E -5.82%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -0.277%E -0.128%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -18.92%E -5.82%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -1.20%E -0.561%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -18.92%E -5.82%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.83%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00%EV -3.95%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.17%EV -4.68%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.65%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -20.17%E -6.30%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -11.91%E -3.90%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.64%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -21.41%E -6.80%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.48%EV -13.93%E -4.67%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-06 20:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -6.74%E -3.34%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -7.20%E -3.58%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.96%EV +0.042%E +0.011%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.25%EV -1.80%E -0.528%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.22%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.16%EV -2.45%E -0.627%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -4.68%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -3.95%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -4.68%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.13%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 20:49 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -7.69%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.13%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.69%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| BetAnything | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.69%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.13%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.69%EV -8.13%E -4.08%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -0.207%E -0.052%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.58%EV -4.11%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.69%EV -8.13%E -4.08%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -0.207%E -0.052%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.58%EV -4.11%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.28%EV -9.51%E -4.85%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -2.70%E -0.693%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -0.207%E -0.052%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -0.207%E -0.052%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-06 20:54 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.35%E -4.45%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.35%E -4.45%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.35%E -4.45%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.35%EV -10.43%E -5.38%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -16.42%E -4.90%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -11.36%E -5.92%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -1.45%E -0.368%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.13%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -11.36%E -5.92%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -1.45%E -0.368%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.13%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.75%EV -11.36%E -5.92%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -13.93%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -11.91%E -3.90%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -11.82%E -6.19%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -13.35%E -4.45%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -11.82%E -6.19%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -13.35%E -4.45%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -11.82%E -6.19%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -14.59%E -7.89%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -2.70%E -0.693%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.70%EV -15.51%E -8.48%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.89%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.41%EV -20.57%E -7.48%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 47.19%EV -17.82%E -10.01%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.33%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.47%EV -17.68%E -6.20%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37% | 1.7% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37% | 1.7% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37% | 1.7% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38% | 3.1% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |