L’École des cotesLa Serena v Union La Calera
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
La Serena (Local)
Prévision 46.17%2.17cote équitable
EV +2.96%
Avantage +1.33%
Kelly +2.40%
Croissance +0.071%
avec la cote maximale 2.23
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.20%46.05%45.94%48.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.782.002.002.2356.18%50.01%50.13%44.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Union La Calera (Visiteur)
Prévision 24.95%4.01cote équitable
EV +0.042%
Avantage +0.011%
Kelly +0.014%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.01
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.03%25.04%25.05%29.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.623.604.0132.26%27.63%27.78%24.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.88%3.46cote équitable
EV -1.80%
Avantage -0.528%
Kelly -0.748%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.14%28.91%29.01%30.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.143.153.4036.36%31.80%31.75%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV +2.96%E +1.33%K +2.40%G +0.071% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -22.66%E -7.31%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 20:10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.54%EV +2.03%E +0.919%K +1.68%G +0.034% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.29%EV -8.69%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.17%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -0.277%E -0.128%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -18.92%E -5.82%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -0.277%E -0.128%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -18.92%E -5.82%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -0.277%E -0.128%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -18.92%E -5.82%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Unibet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -0.277%E -0.128%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -18.92%E -5.82%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -0.277%E -0.128%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -18.92%E -5.82%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -1.20%E -0.561%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -18.92%E -5.82%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.83%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00%EV -3.95%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.17%EV -4.68%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.65%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -20.17%E -6.30%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -11.91%E -3.90%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.64%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -21.41%E -6.80%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.48%EV -13.93%E -4.67%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-06 20:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -6.74%E -3.34%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -7.20%E -3.58%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.96%EV +0.042%E +0.011%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.25%EV -1.80%E -0.528%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.22%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.16%EV -2.45%E -0.627%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -4.68%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -3.95%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -4.68%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.13%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 20:49 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -7.69%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.13%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.69%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| BetAnything | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.69%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.13%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.69%EV -8.13%E -4.08%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -0.207%E -0.052%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.58%EV -4.11%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.69%EV -8.13%E -4.08%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -0.207%E -0.052%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.58%EV -4.11%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.28%EV -9.51%E -4.85%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -2.70%E -0.693%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -0.207%E -0.052%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -0.207%E -0.052%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-06 20:54 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.35%E -4.45%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.35%E -4.45%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.35%E -4.45%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.35%EV -10.43%E -5.38%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -16.42%E -4.90%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -11.36%E -5.92%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -1.45%E -0.368%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.13%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -11.36%E -5.92%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -1.45%E -0.368%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.13%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.75%EV -11.36%E -5.92%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -13.93%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -11.91%E -3.90%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -11.82%E -6.19%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -13.35%E -4.45%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -11.82%E -6.19%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -13.35%E -4.45%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -11.82%E -6.19%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -14.59%E -7.89%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -2.70%E -0.693%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.70%EV -15.51%E -8.48%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.89%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.41%EV -20.57%E -7.48%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 47.19%EV -17.82%E -10.01%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.33%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.47%EV -17.68%E -6.20%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37% | 1.7% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37% | 1.7% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37% | 1.7% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38% | 3.1% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |