مدرسة الاحتمالاتLa Serena v Union La Calera
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
La Serena (المضيف)
التنبؤ 46.17%2.17السعر العادل
EV +2.96%
الأفضلية +1.33%
Kelly +2.40%
النمو +0.071%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.23
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.20%46.05%45.94%48.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.782.002.002.2356.18%50.01%50.13%44.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Union La Calera (الضيف)
التنبؤ 24.95%4.01السعر العادل
EV +0.042%
الأفضلية +0.011%
Kelly +0.014%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.01
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.03%25.04%25.05%29.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.623.604.0132.26%27.63%27.78%24.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 28.88%3.46السعر العادل
EV -1.80%
الأفضلية -0.528%
Kelly -0.748%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.14%28.91%29.01%30.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.143.153.4036.36%31.80%31.75%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV +2.96%E +1.33%K +2.40%G +0.071% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -22.66%E -7.31%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 20:10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.54%EV +2.03%E +0.919%K +1.68%G +0.034% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.29%EV -8.69%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.17%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -0.277%E -0.128%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -18.92%E -5.82%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -0.277%E -0.128%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -18.92%E -5.82%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -0.277%E -0.128%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -18.92%E -5.82%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Unibet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -0.277%E -0.128%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -18.92%E -5.82%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -0.277%E -0.128%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -18.92%E -5.82%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -1.20%E -0.561%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -18.92%E -5.82%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.83%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00%EV -3.95%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.17%EV -4.68%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.65%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -20.17%E -6.30%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -11.91%E -3.90%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.64%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -21.41%E -6.80%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.48%EV -13.93%E -4.67%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-06 20:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -6.74%E -3.34%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -7.20%E -3.58%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.96%EV +0.042%E +0.011%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.25%EV -1.80%E -0.528%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.22%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.16%EV -2.45%E -0.627%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -4.68%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -3.95%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -4.68%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.13%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 20:49 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -7.69%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.13%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.69%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| BetAnything | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.69%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.13%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.69%EV -8.13%E -4.08%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -0.207%E -0.052%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.58%EV -4.11%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.69%EV -8.13%E -4.08%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -0.207%E -0.052%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.58%EV -4.11%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.28%EV -9.51%E -4.85%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -2.70%E -0.693%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -0.207%E -0.052%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -0.207%E -0.052%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-06 20:54 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.35%E -4.45%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.35%E -4.45%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.35%E -4.45%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.35%EV -10.43%E -5.38%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -16.42%E -4.90%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -11.36%E -5.92%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -1.45%E -0.368%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.13%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -11.36%E -5.92%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -1.45%E -0.368%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.13%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.75%EV -11.36%E -5.92%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -13.93%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -11.91%E -3.90%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -11.82%E -6.19%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -13.35%E -4.45%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -11.82%E -6.19%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -13.35%E -4.45%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -11.82%E -6.19%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -14.59%E -7.89%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -2.70%E -0.693%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.70%EV -15.51%E -8.48%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.89%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.41%EV -20.57%E -7.48%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 47.19%EV -17.82%E -10.01%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.33%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.47%EV -17.68%E -6.20%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (4)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37% | 1.7% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37% | 1.7% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37% | 1.7% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38% | 3.1% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |