The School of Odds

La Serena v O'Higgins

2026-08-02 19:00 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

La Serena (Local)

Prediction 35.82%2.79fair odd
EV -5.43%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -3.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.86%35.92%35.77%37.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.402.552.602.6441.67%39.27%38.46%37.88%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

O'Higgins (Visit)

Prediction 37.40%2.67fair odd
EV -4.99%
Edge -1.97%
Kelly -3.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.29%37.39%37.36%38.24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.302.422.402.5443.48%41.39%41.67%39.37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 26.77%3.74fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -0.624%
Kelly -0.860%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.03%26.69%26.87%27.35%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.203.393.403.6531.25%29.53%29.41%27.40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle2.64I 37.88%NM 35.88%EV -5.43%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.29%EV -4.99%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.83%EV -5.49%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 15:35
Coolbet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.26%EV -6.14%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.70%EV -5.74%E -2.28%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%EV -2.28%E -0.624%K -0.860%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 15:25
GTbets2.61I 38.31%NM 35.47%EV -6.50%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.94%EV -8.73%E -3.58%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.60%EV -6.83%E -1.96%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 14:20
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.30%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-27 14:15
Marathon Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.23%EV -6.86%E -2.76%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.11%EV -8.44%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-27 17:10
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.23%EV -6.86%E -2.76%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.11%EV -8.44%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-27 17:10
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.97%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 14:20
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -10.23%E -4.26%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.63%E -2.21%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-27 15:40
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -10.31%E -3.08%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-27 18:06
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.23%E -4.26%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.97%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-27 15:40
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -10.98%E -4.61%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.97%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-27 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -10.98%E -4.61%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.97%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-27 17:00
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.30%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-27 14:24
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.98%E -4.61%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -8.97%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-27 14:15
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.36%EV -10.23%E -4.26%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -10.31%E -3.08%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-27 15:30
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.23%E -4.26%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-27 14:15
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.23%E -4.26%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-27 14:20
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.23%E -4.26%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-27 14:16
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -13.97%E -6.07%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -14.33%E -4.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-27 15:40
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -13.97%E -6.07%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -14.33%E -4.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-27 19:05
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -12.23%E -4.99%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -6.49%E -2.60%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.97%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-27 18:25
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.91%EV -12.23%E -4.99%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.43%EV -12.10%E -5.15%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.66%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-27 16:50
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.95%EV -14.02%E -5.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.51%EV -13.97%E -6.07%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV -12.99%E -4.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-27 16:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.22%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.54%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.24%14.9%2026-07-27 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.22%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.54%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.24%14.9%2026-07-27 15:25
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 35.41%2.32I 43.10%NM 36.94%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.65%16.7%2026-07-27 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 34.65%2.26I 44.25%NM 35.57%2.70I 37.04%NM 29.78%24.4%2026-07-27 15:25