Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

La Serena v O'Higgins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-02 19:00 UTC

Score final : La Serena 1–2 O'Higgins

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

La Serena (Local)

Prévision 39.75%2.52cote équitable
EV -1.82%
Avantage -0.738%
Kelly -1.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.77%39.60%39.77%40.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.332.302.4745.45%42.85%43.48%40.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

O'Higgins (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.03%3.03cote équitable
EV -2.55%
Avantage -0.864%
Kelly -1.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.08%33.05%33.02%34.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.752.752.9538.46%36.38%36.36%33.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.22%3.67cote équitable
EV -3.65%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -1.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.12%27.35%27.22%30.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.953.343.353.5433.90%29.91%29.85%28.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : La Serena (Local) : 39.75% ; O'Higgins (Visiteur) : 33.03% ; Match nul : 27.22%. Pour La Serena (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.52. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.47, pour une espérance de -1.82% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
GTbets🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -1.82%E -0.738%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.61%EV -9.82%E -3.60%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.15%EV -5.28%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 17:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -3.41%E -1.40%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.81%E -4.00%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 17:55
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -3.41%E -1.40%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.81%E -4.00%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 17:55
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -3.41%E -1.40%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.81%E -4.00%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -3.41%E -1.40%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.81%E -4.00%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 17:54
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -3.41%E -1.40%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -10.81%E -4.00%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 17:54
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -3.41%E -1.40%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -12.46%E -4.70%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 17:55
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.14%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.55%E -0.864%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.21%EV -3.65%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-02 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.69%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.85%EV -4.20%E -1.45%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.45%EV -5.55%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.69%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.85%EV -4.20%E -1.45%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.45%EV -5.55%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 18:45
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.69%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.85%EV -4.20%E -1.45%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.45%EV -5.55%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 18:40
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -5.85%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 18:44
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -9.16%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 18:40
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -5.85%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 18:54
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -10.81%E -4.00%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 17:49
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -12.46%E -4.70%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 17:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -13.12%E -4.99%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 17:55
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.04%EV -6.84%E -2.43%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 18:55
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.04%EV -6.84%E -2.43%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -14.11%E -5.43%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-02 17:55
Coolbet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.22%EV -5.80%E -2.45%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.54%EV -3.21%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 18:29
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.59%E -2.81%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 18:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -6.59%E -2.81%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -4.20%E -1.45%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -19.71%E -6.68%K -10.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-02 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.92%EV -7.79%E -3.36%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.84%EV -6.84%E -2.43%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 18:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 39.69%EV -8.18%E -3.54%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.34%EV -9.16%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 18:09
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -4.86%E -1.69%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 18:53
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -4.86%E -1.69%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 18:53
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.16%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 18:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 18:04
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.16%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 18:19
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.81%E -4.00%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 18:55
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.16%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.90%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 18:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -10.81%E -4.00%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -12.90%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 18:55
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -13.45%E -5.13%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-02 18:19
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -13.12%E -4.99%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-02 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -13.12%E -4.99%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-02 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -13.45%E -5.13%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-02 17:49
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -13.45%E -5.13%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-02 17:50
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.81%E -4.00%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -15.62%E -5.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-02 18:55
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.19%EV -9.77%E -4.31%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 18:50
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -10.57%E -4.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 18:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.23%EV -10.57%E -4.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.81%E -4.00%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 18:05
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -10.57%E -4.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.16%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.57%E -4.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -10.81%E -4.00%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-02 18:14
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -10.57%E -4.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -9.16%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.90%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -10.57%E -4.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -9.16%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.90%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -10.57%E -4.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -9.16%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.90%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 18:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -12.55%E -5.71%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.51%EV -12.46%E -4.70%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-02 18:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -12.55%E -5.71%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.81%E -4.00%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-02 18:05
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -12.55%E -5.71%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -14.11%E -5.43%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-02 18:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.18%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-08-02 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.9%2026-08-02 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.9%2026-08-02 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.9%2026-08-02 18:55
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.57%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-08-02 18:15
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.09%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-08-02 18:55