La scuola delle quote

La Serena v O'Higgins

2026-08-02 19:00 UTC — Primera División - Chile

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23 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

La Serena (Casa)

Previsione 35.67%2.80quota equa
EV -5.83%
Vantaggio -2.21%
Kelly -3.56%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.64

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.83%35.68%35.65%36.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.552.602.6441.67%39.17%38.46%37.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

O'Higgins (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.55%2.66quota equa
EV -4.62%
Vantaggio -1.82%
Kelly -3.00%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.21%37.64%37.54%38.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.412.402.5443.48%41.50%41.67%39.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.78%3.73quota equa
EV -2.25%
Vantaggio -0.617%
Kelly -0.850%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.03%26.69%26.82%27.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.393.403.6531.25%29.53%29.41%27.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (23 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.64I 37.88%NM 35.88%EV -5.83%E -2.21%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.29%EV -4.62%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.83%EV -5.47%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 15:35
Coolbet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.26%EV -6.54%E -2.50%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.70%EV -5.37%E -2.13%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%EV -2.25%E -0.617%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 15:25
GTbets2.61I 38.31%NM 35.47%EV -6.90%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.94%EV -8.38%E -3.43%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.60%EV -6.81%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 14:20
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -7.26%E -2.79%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -8.00%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-27 14:15
Marathon Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -7.26%E -2.79%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.23%EV -6.50%E -2.61%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.11%EV -8.41%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-27 17:10
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -7.26%E -2.79%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.23%EV -6.50%E -2.61%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.11%EV -8.41%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-27 17:10
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.26%E -2.79%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -8.00%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 14:20
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -7.26%E -2.79%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-27 15:40
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -7.26%E -2.79%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -8.00%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-27 18:06
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.26%E -2.79%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-27 15:40
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.26%E -2.79%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -10.63%E -4.47%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-27 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.26%E -2.79%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -10.63%E -4.47%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-27 17:00
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -7.26%E -2.79%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -11.76%E -5.00%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-27 20:40
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -10.83%E -4.33%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.00%E -3.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-27 14:24
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.83%E -4.33%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.63%E -4.47%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-27 14:15
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.83%E -4.33%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.36%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-27 15:30
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.83%E -4.33%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-27 14:15
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.83%E -4.33%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-27 14:20
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.83%E -4.33%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.88%E -4.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-27 14:16
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -10.83%E -4.33%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -13.64%E -5.93%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -14.30%E -4.47%K -6.50%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-27 15:40
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -10.83%E -4.33%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -13.64%E -5.93%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -14.30%E -4.47%K -6.50%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-27 19:05
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.91%EV -12.61%E -5.15%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.43%EV -11.76%E -5.00%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.66%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-27 16:50
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.95%EV -14.39%E -6.00%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.51%EV -13.64%E -5.93%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV -12.96%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-27 16:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.22%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.54%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.24%14.9%2026-07-27 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.22%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.54%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.24%14.9%2026-07-27 15:25
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 35.41%2.32I 43.10%NM 36.94%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.65%16.7%2026-07-27 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 34.65%2.26I 44.25%NM 35.57%2.70I 37.04%NM 29.78%24.4%2026-07-27 15:25