Language:English
La Serena v Everton de Viña del Mar
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
La Serena (Local)
Prediction 42.73%2.34fair odd
EV -4.70%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -3.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.06%42.84%42.66%45.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.152.152.2350.76%46.57%46.51%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Everton de Viña del Mar (Visit)
Prediction 28.63%3.49fair odd
EV +0.217%
Edge +0.062%
Kelly +0.087%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.62%28.52%28.66%29.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.173.153.5034.72%31.54%31.75%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.63%3.49fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -0.867%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.43%28.64%28.68%30.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.173.203.3937.04%31.55%31.25%29.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: La Serena (Local): 42.73%; Everton de Viña del Mar (Visit): 28.63%; Draw: 28.63%. For Everton de Viña del Mar (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.49. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.217%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.57%EV -5.98%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.217%E +0.062%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.05%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 18:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.51%EV -5.56%E -2.51%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.12%EV -2.07%E -0.606%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.37%EV -2.94%E -0.867%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 18:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.03%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.06%EV -2.07%E -0.606%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV -4.94%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -2.65%E -0.778%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 18:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -15.81%E -8.03%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -2.65%E -0.778%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.08%EV -5.22%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.69%EV -7.23%E -2.23%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 16:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -5.98%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -5.51%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.08%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 18:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -6.84%E -3.14%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.94%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 18:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -6.84%E -3.14%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.94%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.71%EV -7.27%E -3.35%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -6.94%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.78%EV -7.81%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.98%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 18:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 16:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -7.69%E -3.56%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 18:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 18:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.59%EV -8.55%E -3.99%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.59%EV -8.55%E -3.99%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 18:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.24%E -3.63%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 18:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -10.26%E -4.88%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 18:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 18:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 18:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 18:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -9.40%E -4.43%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.98%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -6.84%E -3.14%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -11.24%E -3.63%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.26%E -4.88%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 18:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.24%E -3.63%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-11 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -7.27%E -3.35%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -12.67%E -4.16%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.10%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.10%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 18:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.10%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 18:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.26%E -4.88%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.24%E -3.63%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 18:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.39%E -6.05%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-11 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.58%EV -14.96%E -7.52%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.98%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.44%EV -12.67%E -4.16%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-11 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.26%E -4.88%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.10%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.26%E -4.88%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.10%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.26%E -4.88%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.10%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 16:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.26%E -4.88%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.10%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 16:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -12.39%E -6.05%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -14.10%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -11.24%E -3.63%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-11 18:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.06%EV -14.53%E -7.27%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.52%EV -17.54%E -6.09%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.42%EV -22.69%E -8.41%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 21.8% | 2026-04-11 18:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 1.4% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 1.4% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 1.4% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.18% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41% | 2.0% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.27% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |