La scuola delle quote

La Serena v Everton de Viña del Mar

Inizio: 2026-04-11 19:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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46 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

La Serena (Casa)

Previsione 42.73%2.34quota equa
EV -4.70%
Vantaggio -2.11%
Kelly -3.82%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.23

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.06%42.84%42.66%45.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.972.152.152.2350.76%46.57%46.51%44.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Everton de Viña del Mar (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.63%3.49quota equa
EV +0.217%
Vantaggio +0.062%
Kelly +0.087%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.62%28.52%28.66%29.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.173.153.5034.72%31.54%31.75%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.63%3.49quota equa
EV -2.94%
Vantaggio -0.867%
Kelly -1.23%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.39

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.43%28.64%28.68%30.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.703.173.203.3937.04%31.55%31.25%29.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.57%EV -5.98%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.217%E +0.062%K +0.087%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.05%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 18:54
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.51%EV -5.56%E -2.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.12%EV -2.07%E -0.606%K -0.857%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.37%EV -2.94%E -0.867%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 18:45
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.03%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.06%EV -2.07%E -0.606%K -0.857%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV -4.94%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 18:55
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -2.65%E -0.778%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 18:54
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -15.81%E -8.03%K -16.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -2.65%E -0.778%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 18:55
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.08%EV -5.22%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.69%EV -7.23%E -2.23%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 16:15
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -5.98%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -5.51%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.08%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 18:39
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -6.84%E -3.14%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.94%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 18:39
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -6.84%E -3.14%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.94%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 18:39
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.71%EV -7.27%E -3.35%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -6.94%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.78%EV -7.81%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 18:40
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.98%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 18:25
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 16:04
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -7.69%E -3.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 18:35
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 18:25
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 18:15
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 18:30
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 18:30
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 42.59%EV -8.55%E -3.99%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 18:35
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 42.59%EV -8.55%E -3.99%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 18:35
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.24%E -3.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 18:40
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -10.26%E -4.88%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 18:40
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 18:20
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 18:24
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 18:24
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 18:24
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 18:20
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -9.40%E -4.43%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 18:40
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.98%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 18:25
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -6.84%E -3.14%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -11.24%E -3.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 18:20
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 18:25
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.26%E -4.88%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 18:35
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.24%E -3.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 18:25
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -7.27%E -3.35%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -12.67%E -4.16%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 18:20
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.10%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 18:50
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.10%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 18:49
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.10%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 18:49
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.26%E -4.88%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.24%E -3.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 18:25
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.39%E -6.05%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 18:40
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 43.58%EV -14.96%E -7.52%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.98%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.44%EV -12.67%E -4.16%K -6.18%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-11 18:35
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.26%E -4.88%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.10%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 16:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.26%E -4.88%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.10%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 16:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.26%E -4.88%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.10%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 16:04
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.26%E -4.88%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.10%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 16:04
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -12.39%E -6.05%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -14.10%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -11.24%E -3.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-11 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.06%EV -14.53%E -7.27%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.52%EV -17.54%E -6.09%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.42%EV -22.69%E -8.41%K -13.35%G +0.000%21.8%2026-04-11 18:24
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%1.4%2026-04-11 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%1.4%2026-04-11 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%1.4%2026-04-11 18:55
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.18%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.0%2026-04-11 18:55
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.27%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%2.3%2026-04-11 18:55