La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
La Serena v Everton de Viña del Mar
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
La Serena (Local)
Predicción 42.73%2.34momio equitativo
EV -4.70%
Ventaja -2.11%
Kelly -3.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.06%42.84%42.66%45.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.972.152.152.2350.76%46.57%46.51%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Everton de Viña del Mar (Visitante)
Predicción 28.63%3.49momio equitativo
EV +0.217%
Ventaja +0.062%
Kelly +0.087%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.62%28.52%28.66%29.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.173.153.5034.72%31.54%31.75%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.63%3.49momio equitativo
EV -2.94%
Ventaja -0.867%
Kelly -1.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.39
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.43%28.64%28.68%30.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.173.203.3937.04%31.55%31.25%29.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.57%EV -5.98%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.217%E +0.062%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.05%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 18:54 |
| Pinnacle | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.51%EV -5.56%E -2.51%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.12%EV -2.07%E -0.606%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.37%EV -2.94%E -0.867%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 18:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.03%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.06%EV -2.07%E -0.606%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV -4.94%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -2.65%E -0.778%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 18:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -15.81%E -8.03%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -2.65%E -0.778%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |
| GTbets | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.08%EV -5.22%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.69%EV -7.23%E -2.23%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 16:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -5.98%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -5.51%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.08%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 18:39 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -6.84%E -3.14%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.94%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 18:39 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -6.84%E -3.14%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.94%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.71%EV -7.27%E -3.35%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -6.94%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.78%EV -7.81%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 18:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.98%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 18:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 16:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -7.69%E -3.56%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 18:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 18:25 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| BetUS | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 18:30 |
| BetAnything | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.59%EV -8.55%E -3.99%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.59%EV -8.55%E -3.99%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 18:35 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.24%E -3.63%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 18:40 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -10.26%E -4.88%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 18:40 |
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 18:24 |
| TABtouch | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 18:24 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 18:24 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -9.40%E -4.43%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.98%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -6.84%E -3.14%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -11.24%E -3.63%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.26%E -4.88%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 18:35 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.24%E -3.63%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-11 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.47%EV -7.27%E -3.35%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -12.67%E -4.16%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.10%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.10%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 18:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.10%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 18:49 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.26%E -4.88%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.24%E -3.63%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 18:25 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.39%E -6.05%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-11 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.58%EV -14.96%E -7.52%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.98%EV -11.24%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.44%EV -12.67%E -4.16%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-11 18:35 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.26%E -4.88%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.10%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.26%E -4.88%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.10%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.26%E -4.88%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.10%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 16:04 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.26%E -4.88%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.10%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 16:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -12.39%E -6.05%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -14.10%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -11.24%E -3.63%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-11 18:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.06%EV -14.53%E -7.27%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.52%EV -17.54%E -6.09%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.42%EV -22.69%E -8.41%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 21.8% | 2026-04-11 18:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 1.4% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 1.4% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 1.4% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.18% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41% | 2.0% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.27% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |