Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Huachipato v Universidad de Concepción

Kickoff: 2026-04-07 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Huachipato (Local)

Prediction 32.69%3.06fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -0.869%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.22%33.06%32.56%38.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.732.752.9842.55%36.65%36.36%33.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Universidad de Concepción (Visit)

Prediction 36.97%2.70fair odd
EV +1.68%
Edge +0.611%
Kelly +0.961%
Growth +0.016%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.02%36.75%37.00%38.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.532.502.7543.48%39.54%40.00%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.34%3.30fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -0.622%
Kelly -0.901%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.73%30.18%30.44%31.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.063.053.2337.04%32.73%32.79%30.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Huachipato (Local): 32.69%; Universidad de Concepción (Visit): 36.97%; Draw: 30.34%. For Universidad de Concepción (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.70. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.68%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -20.57%E -8.46%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV +1.68%E +0.611%K +0.961%G +0.016%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -2.92%E -0.913%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 23:30
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -20.57%E -8.46%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV +1.68%E +0.611%K +0.961%G +0.016%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -2.92%E -0.913%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -20.57%E -8.46%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV +1.68%E +0.611%K +0.961%G +0.016%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -2.92%E -0.913%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 23:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -20.57%E -8.46%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV +1.68%E +0.611%K +0.961%G +0.016%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -2.92%E -0.913%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 23:30
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -20.57%E -8.46%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV +1.68%E +0.611%K +0.961%G +0.016%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -2.92%E -0.913%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 23:30
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -20.57%E -8.46%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV +1.68%E +0.611%K +0.961%G +0.016%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -2.92%E -0.913%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 23:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -22.20%E -9.33%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV +1.68%E +0.611%K +0.961%G +0.016%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 23:24
1xBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.40%EV -8.80%E -3.15%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.03%EV +1.31%E +0.479%K +0.754%G +0.010%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.57%EV -4.74%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 23:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -23.18%E -9.87%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -0.168%E -0.062%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-06 23:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.29%EV -2.59%E -0.869%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.17%EV -1.65%E -0.619%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 23:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.29%EV -2.59%E -0.869%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.17%EV -1.65%E -0.619%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 23:30
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.63%EV -3.57%E -1.21%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.32%EV -2.02%E -0.761%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.05%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 23:30
Pinnacle🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.34%EV -2.59%E -0.869%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.78%EV -3.13%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.88%EV -5.35%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-06 23:55
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.21%E -1.80%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -5.71%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 23:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -16.65%E -6.53%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -5.71%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 23:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 32.77%EV -7.49%E -2.65%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.52%EV -6.08%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.71%EV -8.38%E -2.78%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 23:55
GTbets🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.77%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.70%EV -6.45%E -2.55%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.53%EV -2.01%E -0.622%K -0.901%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 23:40
NordicBet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.86%E -2.03%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -6.82%E -2.71%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 23:35
Betsson🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.86%E -2.03%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -6.82%E -2.71%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 23:35
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 23:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -2.92%E -0.913%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 23:35
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.12%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.74%EV -5.35%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 23:50
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 23:30
Everygame🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 23:45
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-06 23:30
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-06 23:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 23:33
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 23:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 23:34
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 23:41
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 23:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -13.38%E -5.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-06 23:35
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-06 23:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-06 23:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-06 23:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 23:34
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-06 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-06 23:30
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-06 23:30
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-06 23:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-06 23:30
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.72%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-06 23:35
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-06 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.10%EV -13.38%E -5.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.14%EV -14.96%E -6.50%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-06 23:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 32.33%EV -15.01%E -5.77%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.54%EV -14.96%E -6.50%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.13%EV -18.09%E -6.70%K -10.64%G +0.000%19.0%2026-04-06 23:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.2%2026-04-06 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.2%2026-04-06 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.2%2026-04-06 23:50
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.98%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.23%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-04-06 23:30
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.06%3.0%2026-04-06 23:55