L’École des cotes

Huachipato v Universidad de Concepción

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-07 00:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Huachipato (Local)

Prévision 32.69%3.06cote équitable
EV -2.59%
Avantage -0.869%
Kelly -1.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.22%33.06%32.56%38.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.732.752.9842.55%36.65%36.36%33.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Universidad de Concepción (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.97%2.70cote équitable
EV +1.68%
Avantage +0.611%
Kelly +0.961%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.02%36.75%37.00%38.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.532.502.7543.48%39.54%40.00%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.34%3.30cote équitable
EV -2.01%
Avantage -0.622%
Kelly -0.901%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.73%30.18%30.44%31.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.063.053.2337.04%32.73%32.79%30.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -20.57%E -8.46%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV +1.68%E +0.611%K +0.961%G +0.016%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -2.92%E -0.913%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 23:30
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -20.57%E -8.46%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV +1.68%E +0.611%K +0.961%G +0.016%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -2.92%E -0.913%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -20.57%E -8.46%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV +1.68%E +0.611%K +0.961%G +0.016%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -2.92%E -0.913%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 23:30
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -20.57%E -8.46%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV +1.68%E +0.611%K +0.961%G +0.016%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -2.92%E -0.913%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 23:30
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -20.57%E -8.46%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV +1.68%E +0.611%K +0.961%G +0.016%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -2.92%E -0.913%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 23:30
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -20.57%E -8.46%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV +1.68%E +0.611%K +0.961%G +0.016%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -2.92%E -0.913%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 23:30
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -22.20%E -9.33%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV +1.68%E +0.611%K +0.961%G +0.016%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 23:24
1xBet2.79I 35.84%NM 34.40%EV -8.80%E -3.15%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.03%EV +1.31%E +0.479%K +0.754%G +0.010%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.57%EV -4.74%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 23:50
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -23.18%E -9.87%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -0.168%E -0.062%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-06 23:25
BetOnline.ag2.98I 33.56%NM 32.29%EV -2.59%E -0.869%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.17%EV -1.65%E -0.619%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 23:29
LowVig.ag2.98I 33.56%NM 32.29%EV -2.59%E -0.869%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.17%EV -1.65%E -0.619%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 23:30
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.63%EV -3.57%E -1.21%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.32%EV -2.02%E -0.761%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.05%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 23:30
Pinnacle2.98I 33.56%NM 32.34%EV -2.59%E -0.869%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.78%EV -3.13%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.88%EV -5.35%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-06 23:55
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.21%E -1.80%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -5.71%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 23:30
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -16.65%E -6.53%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -5.71%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 23:29
Marathon Bet2.83I 35.34%NM 32.77%EV -7.49%E -2.65%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.52%EV -6.08%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.71%EV -8.38%E -2.78%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 23:55
GTbets2.91I 34.36%NM 32.77%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.70%EV -6.45%E -2.55%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.53%EV -2.01%E -0.622%K -0.901%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 23:40
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.86%E -2.03%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -6.82%E -2.71%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 23:35
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.86%E -2.03%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -6.82%E -2.71%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 23:35
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 23:39
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -2.92%E -0.913%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 23:35
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.12%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.74%EV -5.35%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 23:50
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 23:30
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 23:45
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-06 23:30
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-06 23:30
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 23:33
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 23:30
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 23:34
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 23:41
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 23:35
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -13.38%E -5.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-06 23:35
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-06 23:30
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-06 23:25
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-06 23:25
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 23:34
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-06 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-06 23:30
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-06 23:30
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-06 23:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-06 23:30
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.72%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-06 23:35
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-06 23:40
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.10%EV -13.38%E -5.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.14%EV -14.96%E -6.50%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-06 23:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.33%EV -15.01%E -5.77%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.54%EV -14.96%E -6.50%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.13%EV -18.09%E -6.70%K -10.64%G +0.000%19.0%2026-04-06 23:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.2%2026-04-06 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.2%2026-04-06 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.2%2026-04-06 23:50
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.98%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.23%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-04-06 23:30
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.06%3.0%2026-04-06 23:55