La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Huachipato v Universidad de Concepción
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Huachipato (Local)
Predicción 32.69%3.06momio equitativo
EV -2.59%
Ventaja -0.869%
Kelly -1.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.22%33.06%32.56%38.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.732.752.9842.55%36.65%36.36%33.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Universidad de Concepción (Visitante)
Predicción 36.97%2.70momio equitativo
EV +1.68%
Ventaja +0.611%
Kelly +0.961%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.02%36.75%37.00%38.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.532.502.7543.48%39.54%40.00%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.34%3.30momio equitativo
EV -2.01%
Ventaja -0.622%
Kelly -0.901%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.73%30.18%30.44%31.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.063.053.2337.04%32.73%32.79%30.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -20.57%E -8.46%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV +1.68%E +0.611%K +0.961%G +0.016% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -2.92%E -0.913%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 23:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -20.57%E -8.46%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV +1.68%E +0.611%K +0.961%G +0.016% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -2.92%E -0.913%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 23:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -20.57%E -8.46%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV +1.68%E +0.611%K +0.961%G +0.016% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -2.92%E -0.913%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 23:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -20.57%E -8.46%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV +1.68%E +0.611%K +0.961%G +0.016% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -2.92%E -0.913%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 23:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -20.57%E -8.46%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV +1.68%E +0.611%K +0.961%G +0.016% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -2.92%E -0.913%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 23:30 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -20.57%E -8.46%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV +1.68%E +0.611%K +0.961%G +0.016% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -2.92%E -0.913%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 23:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -22.20%E -9.33%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV +1.68%E +0.611%K +0.961%G +0.016% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-06 23:24 |
| 1xBet | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.40%EV -8.80%E -3.15%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.03%EV +1.31%E +0.479%K +0.754%G +0.010% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.57%EV -4.74%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 23:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -23.18%E -9.87%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -0.168%E -0.062%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-06 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.29%EV -2.59%E -0.869%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.17%EV -1.65%E -0.619%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 23:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.29%EV -2.59%E -0.869%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.17%EV -1.65%E -0.619%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 23:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.63%EV -3.57%E -1.21%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.32%EV -2.02%E -0.761%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.05%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 23:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.34%EV -2.59%E -0.869%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.78%EV -3.13%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.88%EV -5.35%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-06 23:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.21%E -1.80%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -5.71%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-06 23:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -16.65%E -6.53%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -5.71%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-06 23:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.77%EV -7.49%E -2.65%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.52%EV -6.08%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.71%EV -8.38%E -2.78%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 23:55 |
| GTbets | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.77%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.70%EV -6.45%E -2.55%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.53%EV -2.01%E -0.622%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 23:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.86%E -2.03%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -6.82%E -2.71%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 23:35 |
| Betsson | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.86%E -2.03%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -6.82%E -2.71%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 23:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 23:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -2.92%E -0.913%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 23:35 |
| Bet Victor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.12%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.74%EV -5.35%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 23:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 23:30 |
| Everygame | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-06 23:45 |
| Betway | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-06 23:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-06 23:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 23:33 |
| BetMGM | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 23:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 23:34 |
| Bovada | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 23:41 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-06 23:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -13.38%E -5.05%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-06 23:35 |
| 888sport | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-06 23:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-06 23:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-06 23:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 23:34 |
| Paddy Power | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-06 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-06 23:30 |
| Neds | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-06 23:30 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-06 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-06 23:30 |
| Sky Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.72%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-06 23:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-06 23:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.10%EV -13.38%E -5.05%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.14%EV -14.96%E -6.50%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-06 23:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.33%EV -15.01%E -5.77%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.54%EV -14.96%E -6.50%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.13%EV -18.09%E -6.70%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-04-06 23:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 23:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.98% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.23% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.7% | 2026-04-06 23:30 |
| Kalshi | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.06% | 3.0% | 2026-04-06 23:55 |