Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Everton de Viña del Mar v Cobresal

Kickoff: 2026-04-26 21:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Everton de Viña del Mar (Local)

Prediction 52.74%1.90fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.734%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.27%52.61%52.82%54.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.751.751.8762.50%57.13%57.31%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cobresal (Visit)

Prediction 21.73%4.60fair odd
EV +0.818%
Edge +0.176%
Kelly +0.225%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.09%21.72%21.60%23.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.124.104.6426.67%24.25%24.39%21.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.53%3.92fair odd
EV -5.03%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.08%25.67%25.58%27.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.513.503.7233.33%28.51%28.57%26.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Everton de Viña del Mar (Local): 52.74%; Cobresal (Visit): 21.73%; Draw: 25.53%. For Cobresal (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.60. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.818%.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.60%EV -7.17%E -4.08%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.33%EV +0.818%E +0.176%K +0.225%G +0.002%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.06%EV -7.58%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 00:15
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.53%EV -6.12%E -3.44%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -0.051%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.54%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 23:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -12.98%E -7.86%K -19.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -2.22%E -0.494%K -0.635%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 05:19
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -3.31%E -0.744%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -9.37%E -2.64%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 05:14
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -3.31%E -0.744%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -9.37%E -2.64%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 05:14
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -6.65%E -3.76%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.27%EV -3.53%E -0.795%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.38%EV -5.03%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 05:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -8.23%E -4.73%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -5.92%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -6.82%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 03:10
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.92%EV -7.17%E -4.08%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.56%EV -6.14%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -6.82%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-24 03:15
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -8.23%E -4.73%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -6.57%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -5.54%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 21:34
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.40%EV -9.81%E -5.74%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -6.57%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 21:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.65%E -3.76%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 21:54
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -6.65%E -3.76%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.54%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 21:34
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -8.23%E -4.73%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -6.82%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 21:32
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -8.23%E -4.73%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -6.82%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 02:39
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -9.28%E -5.40%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-20 21:54
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.20%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 05:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.20%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 05:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.20%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 05:14
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -10.34%E -6.08%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-20 21:54
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -9.28%E -5.40%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 21:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.71%EV -5.59%E -3.12%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 16:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.71%EV -5.59%E -3.12%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 16:54
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -6.65%E -3.76%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 21:35
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.43%EV -10.34%E -6.08%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.83%EV -11.92%E -3.46%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 12:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 53.38%EV -15.09%E -9.37%K -24.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.96%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.66%EV -14.47%E -4.32%K -6.16%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-21 00:04
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.76%E -5.06%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-20 21:54
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.76%E -5.06%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 07:14
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.76%E -5.06%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-21 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.76%E -5.06%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-21 21:30
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.76%E -5.06%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-21 21:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.76%E -5.06%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-21 21:34
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.34%E -6.08%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 21:35
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -11.92%E -7.14%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-20 06:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.04%EV -13.50%E -8.23%K -21.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.75%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.21%EV -11.92%E -3.46%K -4.87%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-20 20:24
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -1.37%E -0.734%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -15.26%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -13.20%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -1.37%E -0.734%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -15.26%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -13.20%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 21:40
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -1.37%E -0.734%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -15.26%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -13.20%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 21:40
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -1.37%E -0.734%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -15.26%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -13.20%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 21:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -1.37%E -0.734%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -15.26%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -13.20%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 21:40
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -1.37%E -0.734%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -15.26%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -13.20%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 21:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.53%EV -2.95%E -1.61%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -16.35%E -4.25%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -13.20%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 21:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.45%EV -4.01%E -2.20%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -17.43%E -4.59%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -14.47%E -4.32%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 21:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 52.47%EV -15.61%E -9.76%K -26.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.09%EV -17.43%E -4.59%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.44%EV -15.75%E -4.77%K -6.85%G +0.000%19.1%2026-04-20 20:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 49.95%EV -11.92%E -7.14%K -17.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.24%EV -18.52%E -4.94%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.81%EV -23.41%E -7.80%K -11.70%G +0.000%19.9%2026-04-20 21:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 50.84%4.17I 23.98%NM 21.83%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.33%9.9%2026-04-24 03:45
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 52.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.41%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.36%16.7%2026-04-20 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 37.92%2.04I 49.02%NM 31.04%2.04I 49.02%NM 31.04%57.9%2026-04-23 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 37.92%2.04I 49.02%NM 31.04%2.04I 49.02%NM 31.04%57.9%2026-04-23 22:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 38.06%2.04I 49.02%NM 30.97%2.04I 49.02%NM 30.97%58.3%2026-04-23 21:50