L’École des cotes

Everton de Viña del Mar v Cobresal

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 21:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Everton de Viña del Mar (Local)

Prévision 52.74%1.90cote équitable
EV -1.37%
Avantage -0.734%
Kelly -1.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.27%52.61%52.82%54.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.751.751.8762.50%57.13%57.31%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cobresal (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.73%4.60cote équitable
EV +0.818%
Avantage +0.176%
Kelly +0.225%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.09%21.72%21.60%23.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.124.104.6426.67%24.25%24.39%21.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.53%3.92cote équitable
EV -5.03%
Avantage -1.35%
Kelly -1.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.08%25.67%25.58%27.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.513.503.7233.33%28.51%28.57%26.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 53.60%EV -7.17%E -4.08%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.33%EV +0.818%E +0.176%K +0.225%G +0.002%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.06%EV -7.58%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 00:15
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.53%EV -6.12%E -3.44%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -0.051%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.54%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 23:20
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -12.98%E -7.86%K -19.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -2.22%E -0.494%K -0.635%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 05:19
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -3.31%E -0.744%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -9.37%E -2.64%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 05:14
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -3.31%E -0.744%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -9.37%E -2.64%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 05:14
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -6.65%E -3.76%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.27%EV -3.53%E -0.795%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.38%EV -5.03%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 05:14
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -8.23%E -4.73%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -5.92%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -6.82%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 03:10
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.92%EV -7.17%E -4.08%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.56%EV -6.14%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -6.82%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-24 03:15
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -8.23%E -4.73%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -6.57%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -5.54%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 21:34
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 53.40%EV -9.81%E -5.74%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -6.57%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 21:54
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.65%E -3.76%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 21:54
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -6.65%E -3.76%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.54%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 21:34
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -8.23%E -4.73%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -6.82%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 21:32
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -8.23%E -4.73%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -6.82%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 02:39
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -9.28%E -5.40%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-20 21:54
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.20%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 05:15
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.20%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 05:14
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.20%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 05:14
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -10.34%E -6.08%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-20 21:54
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -9.28%E -5.40%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 21:35
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 51.71%EV -5.59%E -3.12%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 16:54
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 51.71%EV -5.59%E -3.12%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 16:54
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -6.65%E -3.76%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 21:35
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 52.43%EV -10.34%E -6.08%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.83%EV -11.92%E -3.46%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 12:49
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 53.38%EV -15.09%E -9.37%K -24.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.96%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.66%EV -14.47%E -4.32%K -6.16%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-21 00:04
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.76%E -5.06%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-20 21:54
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.76%E -5.06%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 07:14
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.76%E -5.06%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-21 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.76%E -5.06%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-21 21:30
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.76%E -5.06%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-21 21:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.76%E -5.06%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-21 21:34
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.34%E -6.08%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 21:35
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -11.92%E -7.14%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-20 06:54
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.04%EV -13.50%E -8.23%K -21.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.75%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.21%EV -11.92%E -3.46%K -4.87%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-20 20:24
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -1.37%E -0.734%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -15.26%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -13.20%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -1.37%E -0.734%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -15.26%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -13.20%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 21:40
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -1.37%E -0.734%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -15.26%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -13.20%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 21:40
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -1.37%E -0.734%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -15.26%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -13.20%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 21:40
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -1.37%E -0.734%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -15.26%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -13.20%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 21:40
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -1.37%E -0.734%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -15.26%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -13.20%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 21:40
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.53%EV -2.95%E -1.61%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -16.35%E -4.25%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -13.20%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 21:40
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.45%EV -4.01%E -2.20%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -17.43%E -4.59%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -14.47%E -4.32%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 21:40
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 52.47%EV -15.61%E -9.76%K -26.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.09%EV -17.43%E -4.59%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.44%EV -15.75%E -4.77%K -6.85%G +0.000%19.1%2026-04-20 20:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 49.95%EV -11.92%E -7.14%K -17.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.24%EV -18.52%E -4.94%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.81%EV -23.41%E -7.80%K -11.70%G +0.000%19.9%2026-04-20 21:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 50.84%4.17I 23.98%NM 21.83%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.33%9.9%2026-04-24 03:45
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 52.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.41%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.36%16.7%2026-04-20 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 37.92%2.04I 49.02%NM 31.04%2.04I 49.02%NM 31.04%57.9%2026-04-23 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 37.92%2.04I 49.02%NM 31.04%2.04I 49.02%NM 31.04%57.9%2026-04-23 22:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 38.06%2.04I 49.02%NM 30.97%2.04I 49.02%NM 30.97%58.3%2026-04-23 21:50