La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Everton de Viña del Mar v Cobresal
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Everton de Viña del Mar (Local)
Predicción 52.74%1.90momio equitativo
EV -1.37%
Ventaja -0.734%
Kelly -1.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.27%52.61%52.82%54.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.751.751.8762.50%57.13%57.31%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cobresal (Visitante)
Predicción 21.73%4.60momio equitativo
EV +0.818%
Ventaja +0.176%
Kelly +0.225%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.09%21.72%21.60%23.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.124.104.6426.67%24.25%24.39%21.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.53%3.92momio equitativo
EV -5.03%
Ventaja -1.35%
Kelly -1.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.08%25.67%25.58%27.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.513.503.7233.33%28.51%28.57%26.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.60%EV -7.17%E -4.08%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.33%EV +0.818%E +0.176%K +0.225%G +0.002% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.06%EV -7.58%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-20 00:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.53%EV -6.12%E -3.44%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -0.051%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.54%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 23:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -12.98%E -7.86%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -2.22%E -0.494%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-22 05:19 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -3.31%E -0.744%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -9.37%E -2.64%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 05:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -3.31%E -0.744%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -9.37%E -2.64%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 05:14 |
| Pinnacle | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -6.65%E -3.76%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.27%EV -3.53%E -0.795%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.38%EV -5.03%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 05:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -8.23%E -4.73%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -5.92%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -6.82%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.92%EV -7.17%E -4.08%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.56%EV -6.14%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -6.82%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -8.23%E -4.73%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -6.57%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -5.54%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 21:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.40%EV -9.81%E -5.74%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -6.57%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-20 21:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.65%E -3.76%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-20 21:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -6.65%E -3.76%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.54%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 21:34 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -8.23%E -4.73%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -6.82%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 21:32 |
| BetUS | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -8.23%E -4.73%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -6.82%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 02:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -9.28%E -5.40%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-20 21:54 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.20%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-22 05:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.20%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-22 05:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.20%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-22 05:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -10.34%E -6.08%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-20 21:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -9.28%E -5.40%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -8.74%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 21:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.71%EV -5.59%E -3.12%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 16:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.71%EV -5.59%E -3.12%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 16:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -6.65%E -3.76%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 21:35 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.43%EV -10.34%E -6.08%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.83%EV -11.92%E -3.46%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 12:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 53.38%EV -15.09%E -9.37%K -24.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.96%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.66%EV -14.47%E -4.32%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-21 00:04 |
| betfred_uk | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.76%E -5.06%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-20 21:54 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.76%E -5.06%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-22 07:14 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.76%E -5.06%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-21 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.76%E -5.06%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-21 21:30 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.76%E -5.06%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-21 21:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.76%E -5.06%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-21 21:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.34%E -6.08%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 21:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -11.92%E -7.14%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-20 06:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.04%EV -13.50%E -8.23%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.75%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.21%EV -11.92%E -3.46%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-20 20:24 |
| Unibet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -1.37%E -0.734%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -15.26%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -13.20%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -1.37%E -0.734%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -15.26%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -13.20%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 21:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -1.37%E -0.734%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -15.26%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -13.20%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 21:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -1.37%E -0.734%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -15.26%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -13.20%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -1.37%E -0.734%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -15.26%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -13.20%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 21:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -1.37%E -0.734%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -15.26%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -13.20%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.53%EV -2.95%E -1.61%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -16.35%E -4.25%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -13.20%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-19 21:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.45%EV -4.01%E -2.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -17.43%E -4.59%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -14.47%E -4.32%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 21:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 52.47%EV -15.61%E -9.76%K -26.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.09%EV -17.43%E -4.59%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.44%EV -15.75%E -4.77%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 19.1% | 2026-04-20 20:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 49.95%EV -11.92%E -7.14%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.24%EV -18.52%E -4.94%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.81%EV -23.41%E -7.80%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-04-20 21:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.84% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 21.83% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.33% | 9.9% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 52.23% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.41% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.36% | 16.7% | 2026-04-20 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 37.92% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 31.04% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 31.04% | 57.9% | 2026-04-23 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 37.92% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 31.04% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 31.04% | 57.9% | 2026-04-23 22:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 38.06% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 30.97% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 30.97% | 58.3% | 2026-04-23 21:50 |