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Deportes Limache v Universidad de Concepción
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Deportes Limache (Local)
Prediction 54.00%1.85fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.646%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.50%53.79%54.05%55.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.711.701.8363.69%58.52%58.82%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Universidad de Concepción (Visit)
Prediction 21.44%4.66fair odd
EV +1.83%
Edge +0.385%
Kelly +0.488%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.21%21.56%21.41%23.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.214.204.7526.32%23.74%23.81%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.56%4.07fair odd
EV +0.709%
Edge +0.173%
Kelly +0.229%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.18%24.65%24.54%26.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.683.704.1031.25%27.15%27.03%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Deportes Limache (Local): 54.00%; Universidad de Concepción (Visit): 21.44%; Draw: 24.56%. For Universidad de Concepción (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.66. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.83%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.17%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.21%EV +1.83%E +0.385%K +0.488%G +0.009% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.62%EV -4.20%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-17 22:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.79%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.94%EV -1.81%E -0.396%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.27%EV -2.98%E -0.753%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 23:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.66%E -4.48%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.53%E -0.784%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 23:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -8.74%E -5.17%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.53%E -0.784%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 22:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.12%E -4.14%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -4.60%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.12%E -4.14%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -4.60%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.67%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -4.20%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 23:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.10%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -5.67%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 23:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%EV -10.36%E -6.24%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -5.67%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-17 23:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.82%EV -8.74%E -5.17%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -6.75%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.88%EV -4.69%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 23:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -7.17%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-17 23:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.23%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 21.39%EV -7.60%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.39%EV -7.15%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 23:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.25%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.33%EV -7.82%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%EV +0.709%E +0.173%K +0.229%G +0.002% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 23:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.82%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 23:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.41%EV -8.74%E -5.17%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.82%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 23:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.82%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 23:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -12.52%E -7.73%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -7.82%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -4.20%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-17 23:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -7.66%E -4.48%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -8.89%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 23:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-17 23:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-17 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-17 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-17 22:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-17 22:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-17 22:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-17 23:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.03%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-17 23:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 22:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 22:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 22:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 22:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.74%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -10.34%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 22:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.63%EV -10.36%E -6.24%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -4.20%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 23:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -10.34%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-17 23:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -10.34%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-17 23:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -1.18%E -0.646%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -14.25%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -14.03%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 23:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -1.18%E -0.646%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -14.25%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -14.03%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 23:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -14.25%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.03%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-17 23:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -14.25%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.03%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-17 23:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -14.25%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.03%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-17 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -14.25%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-17 22:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 53.10%EV -15.22%E -9.70%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.84%EV -14.25%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.05%EV -21.40%E -6.69%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-04-17 23:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.11%EV -12.52%E -7.73%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.19%EV -15.32%E -3.88%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-17 23:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -18.54%E -4.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-17 23:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.55% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51% | 1.3% | 2026-04-17 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.55% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51% | 1.3% | 2026-04-17 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.55% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51% | 1.3% | 2026-04-17 23:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.84% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54% | 1.9% | 2026-04-17 23:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.03% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.48% | 3.4% | 2026-04-17 23:55 |