L’École des cotes

Deportes Limache v Universidad de Concepción

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 00:00 UTC

Score final : Deportes Limache 3–0 Universidad de Concepción

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Deportes Limache (Local)

Prévision 54.00%1.85cote équitable
EV -1.18%
Avantage -0.646%
Kelly -1.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.50%53.79%54.05%55.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.711.701.8363.69%58.52%58.82%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Universidad de Concepción (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.44%4.66cote équitable
EV +1.83%
Avantage +0.385%
Kelly +0.488%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.21%21.56%21.41%23.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.214.204.7526.32%23.74%23.81%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.56%4.07cote équitable
EV +0.709%
Avantage +0.173%
Kelly +0.229%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.18%24.65%24.54%26.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.683.704.1031.25%27.15%27.03%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.17%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.21%EV +1.83%E +0.385%K +0.488%G +0.009%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.62%EV -4.20%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 22:10
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 54.79%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.94%EV -1.81%E -0.396%K -0.507%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.27%EV -2.98%E -0.753%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 23:45
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.66%E -4.48%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.53%E -0.784%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 23:40
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -8.74%E -5.17%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.53%E -0.784%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 22:30
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.12%E -4.14%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -4.60%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 23:25
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.12%E -4.14%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -4.60%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 23:25
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.67%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -4.20%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 23:45
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.10%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -5.67%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 23:50
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%EV -10.36%E -6.24%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -5.67%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 23:40
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.82%EV -8.74%E -5.17%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -6.75%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.88%EV -4.69%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 23:50
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -7.17%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-17 23:40
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 54.23%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 21.39%EV -7.60%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.39%EV -7.15%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 23:55
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.25%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.33%EV -7.82%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%EV +0.709%E +0.173%K +0.229%G +0.002%4.1%2026-04-17 23:55
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.82%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 23:45
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.41%EV -8.74%E -5.17%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.82%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 23:40
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.82%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 23:44
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -12.52%E -7.73%K -20.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -7.82%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -4.20%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-17 23:50
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -7.66%E -4.48%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -8.89%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 23:35
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 23:35
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 23:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-17 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-17 22:30
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-17 22:30
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-17 22:30
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-17 23:40
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.03%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-17 23:40
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 22:50
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 22:50
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 22:50
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 22:50
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 22:50
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 52.74%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -10.34%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 22:50
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.63%EV -10.36%E -6.24%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -4.20%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 23:35
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -10.34%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-17 23:45
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -10.34%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-17 23:50
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -1.18%E -0.646%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -14.25%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -14.03%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 23:50
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -1.18%E -0.646%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -14.25%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -14.03%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 23:50
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -14.25%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.03%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-17 23:40
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -14.25%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.03%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-17 23:40
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -14.25%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.03%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-17 23:40
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -14.25%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-17 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 53.10%EV -15.22%E -9.70%K -26.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.84%EV -14.25%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.05%EV -21.40%E -6.69%K -9.73%G +0.000%19.9%2026-04-17 23:55
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.11%EV -12.52%E -7.73%K -20.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.19%EV -15.32%E -3.88%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-17 23:35
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -18.54%E -4.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-17 23:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.55%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-04-17 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.55%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-04-17 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.55%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-04-17 23:50
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.84%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%1.9%2026-04-17 23:45
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.03%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.48%3.4%2026-04-17 23:55