La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Deportes Limache v Universidad de Concepción
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Deportes Limache (Local)
Predicción 54.00%1.85momio equitativo
EV -1.18%
Ventaja -0.646%
Kelly -1.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.50%53.79%54.05%55.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.711.701.8363.69%58.52%58.82%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Universidad de Concepción (Visitante)
Predicción 21.44%4.66momio equitativo
EV +1.83%
Ventaja +0.385%
Kelly +0.488%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.21%21.56%21.41%23.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.214.204.7526.32%23.74%23.81%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.56%4.07momio equitativo
EV +0.709%
Ventaja +0.173%
Kelly +0.229%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.18%24.65%24.54%26.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.683.704.1031.25%27.15%27.03%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.17%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.21%EV +1.83%E +0.385%K +0.488%G +0.009% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.62%EV -4.20%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-17 22:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.79%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.94%EV -1.81%E -0.396%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.27%EV -2.98%E -0.753%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 23:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.66%E -4.48%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.53%E -0.784%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 23:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -8.74%E -5.17%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.53%E -0.784%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 22:30 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.12%E -4.14%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -4.60%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.12%E -4.14%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -4.60%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.67%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -4.20%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 23:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.10%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -5.67%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 23:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%EV -10.36%E -6.24%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -5.67%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-17 23:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.82%EV -8.74%E -5.17%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -6.75%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.88%EV -4.69%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 23:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -7.17%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-17 23:40 |
| GTbets | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.23%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 21.39%EV -7.60%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.39%EV -7.15%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 23:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.25%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.33%EV -7.82%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%EV +0.709%E +0.173%K +0.229%G +0.002% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 23:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.82%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 23:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.41%EV -8.74%E -5.17%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.82%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 23:40 |
| Bovada | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.82%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 23:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -12.52%E -7.73%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -7.82%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -4.20%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-17 23:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -7.66%E -4.48%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -8.89%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 23:35 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-17 23:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-17 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-17 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-17 22:30 |
| Neds | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-17 22:30 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-17 22:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-17 23:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.03%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-17 23:40 |
| Unibet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 22:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 22:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 22:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 22:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.74%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -10.34%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 22:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.63%EV -10.36%E -6.24%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -4.20%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 23:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -10.34%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-17 23:45 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -10.34%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-17 23:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -1.18%E -0.646%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -14.25%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -14.03%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 23:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -1.18%E -0.646%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -14.25%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -14.03%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 23:50 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -14.25%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.03%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-17 23:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -14.25%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.03%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-17 23:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -14.25%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.03%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-17 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -14.25%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-17 22:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 53.10%EV -15.22%E -9.70%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.84%EV -14.25%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.05%EV -21.40%E -6.69%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-04-17 23:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.11%EV -12.52%E -7.73%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.19%EV -15.32%E -3.88%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -9.12%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-17 23:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -18.54%E -4.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -11.57%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-17 23:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.55% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51% | 1.3% | 2026-04-17 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.55% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51% | 1.3% | 2026-04-17 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.55% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51% | 1.3% | 2026-04-17 23:50 |
| Kalshi | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.84% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54% | 1.9% | 2026-04-17 23:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.03% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.48% | 3.4% | 2026-04-17 23:55 |