A Escola das Odds

Deportes Limache v Union La Calera

Início: 2026-04-04 20:36 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Deportes Limache (Local)

Previsão 50.71%1.97odd justa
EV -2.13%
Vantagem -1.11%
Kelly -2.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.70%50.69%50.76%53.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.691.831.831.9359.17%54.59%54.64%51.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Union La Calera (Visitante)

Previsão 23.41%4.27odd justa
EV -0.037%
Vantagem -0.009%
Kelly -0.011%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.97%23.42%23.37%25.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.833.804.2728.57%26.08%26.32%23.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.88%3.86odd justa
EV -2.42%
Vantagem -0.643%
Kelly -0.875%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.03%25.89%25.87%27.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.493.503.7733.33%28.64%28.57%26.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.80%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.71%EV -8.93%E -2.30%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -2.42%E -0.643%K -0.875%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 20:29
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.55%E -3.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 20:34
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.55%E -3.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 20:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.55%E -3.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 20:34
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.55%E -3.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 20:34
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.55%E -3.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 20:33
GTbets1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.53%EV -4.72%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 20:29
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.90%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -4.02%E -0.980%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 20:29
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.73%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -15.72%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -13.30%E -3.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 20:29
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.31%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%EV -1.68%E -0.399%K -0.524%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72%EV -2.94%E -0.785%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 20:30
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.31%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%EV -1.68%E -0.399%K -0.524%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72%EV -2.94%E -0.785%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 20:30
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -15.72%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -13.30%E -3.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 20:29
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.68%E -3.06%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.46%EV -0.037%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.99%EV -4.50%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 20:29
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 20:34
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.53%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 20:32
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.53%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 20:32
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.02%E -0.980%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 20:34
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 20:34
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 20:32
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 20:29
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -13.38%E -3.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 20:35
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -15.72%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 20:34
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -12.21%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 20:30
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.93%EV -7.71%E -4.24%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%EV -5.19%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.18%EV -8.38%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 20:29
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.71%E -4.24%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 20:34
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -7.71%E -4.24%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -9.87%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 20:29
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -7.71%E -4.24%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -12.21%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 20:29
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.81%EV -8.22%E -4.54%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -7.53%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 20:34
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 20:28
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 20:34
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.21%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 20:34
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.21%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 20:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.72%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 20:29
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.72%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 20:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.38%E -3.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 20:34
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.38%E -3.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 20:34
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.04%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 20:29
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.04%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 20:29
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.21%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -13.38%E -3.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 20:34
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.74%EV -9.74%E -5.47%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -9.87%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 20:31
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.45%EV -11.77%E -6.76%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -13.38%E -3.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-04 20:34
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -12.28%E -7.10%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -12.21%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-04 20:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.29%EV -12.28%E -7.10%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.87%EV -18.06%E -5.16%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.85%EV -22.35%E -7.45%K -11.18%G +0.000%19.7%2026-04-04 20:34
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.00%EV -13.80%E -8.12%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -4.02%E -0.980%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 20:34
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 51.50%EV -14.30%E -8.46%K -20.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.90%EV -11.04%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-04 20:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.05%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%3.1%2026-04-04 20:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.05%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%3.1%2026-04-04 20:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.05%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%3.1%2026-04-04 20:35
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 50.97%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.61%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.41%6.0%2026-04-04 20:35
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%6.2%2026-04-04 20:33