مدرسة الاحتمالات

Deportes Limache v Union La Calera

البداية: 2026-04-04 20:36 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Deportes Limache (المضيف)

التنبؤ 50.71%1.97السعر العادل
EV -2.13%
الأفضلية -1.11%
Kelly -2.30%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.93

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.70%50.69%50.76%53.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.691.831.831.9359.17%54.59%54.64%51.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Union La Calera (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.41%4.27السعر العادل
EV -0.037%
الأفضلية -0.009%
Kelly -0.011%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.27

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.97%23.42%23.37%25.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.503.833.804.2728.57%26.08%26.32%23.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.88%3.86السعر العادل
EV -2.42%
الأفضلية -0.643%
Kelly -0.875%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.77

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.03%25.89%25.87%27.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.493.503.7733.33%28.64%28.57%26.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.80%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.71%EV -8.93%E -2.30%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -2.42%E -0.643%K -0.875%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 20:29
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.55%E -3.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 20:34
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.55%E -3.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 20:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.55%E -3.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 20:34
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.55%E -3.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 20:34
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.55%E -3.99%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 20:33
GTbets1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.53%EV -4.72%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 20:29
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.90%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -4.02%E -0.980%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 20:29
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.73%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -15.72%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -13.30%E -3.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 20:29
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.31%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%EV -1.68%E -0.399%K -0.524%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72%EV -2.94%E -0.785%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 20:30
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.31%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%EV -1.68%E -0.399%K -0.524%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72%EV -2.94%E -0.785%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 20:30
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -15.72%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -13.30%E -3.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 20:29
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.68%E -3.06%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.46%EV -0.037%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.99%EV -4.50%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 20:29
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 20:34
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.53%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 20:32
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.53%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 20:32
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.02%E -0.980%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 20:34
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 20:34
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 20:32
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 20:29
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -13.38%E -3.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 20:35
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -15.72%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 20:34
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -12.21%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 20:30
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.93%EV -7.71%E -4.24%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%EV -5.19%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.18%EV -8.38%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 20:29
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.71%E -4.24%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 20:34
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -7.71%E -4.24%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -9.87%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 20:29
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -7.71%E -4.24%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -12.21%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 20:29
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.81%EV -8.22%E -4.54%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -7.53%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 20:34
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 20:28
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 20:34
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.21%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 20:34
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.21%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 20:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.72%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 20:29
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.72%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 20:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.38%E -3.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 20:34
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.38%E -3.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 20:34
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.04%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 20:29
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.04%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 20:29
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.21%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -13.38%E -3.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 20:34
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.74%EV -9.74%E -5.47%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -9.87%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 20:31
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.45%EV -11.77%E -6.76%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -13.38%E -3.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-04 20:34
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -12.28%E -7.10%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -12.21%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-04 20:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.29%EV -12.28%E -7.10%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.87%EV -18.06%E -5.16%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.85%EV -22.35%E -7.45%K -11.18%G +0.000%19.7%2026-04-04 20:34
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.00%EV -13.80%E -8.12%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -4.02%E -0.980%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 20:34
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 51.50%EV -14.30%E -8.46%K -20.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.90%EV -11.04%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-04 20:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.05%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%3.1%2026-04-04 20:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.05%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%3.1%2026-04-04 20:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.05%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%3.1%2026-04-04 20:35
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 50.97%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.61%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.41%6.0%2026-04-04 20:35
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%6.2%2026-04-04 20:33