L’École des cotesDeportes Limache v Union La Calera
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Deportes Limache (Local)
Prévision 50.71%1.97cote équitable
EV -2.13%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -2.30%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.93
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.70%50.69%50.76%53.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.691.831.831.9359.17%54.59%54.64%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Union La Calera (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.41%4.27cote équitable
EV -0.037%
Avantage -0.009%
Kelly -0.011%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.27
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.97%23.42%23.37%25.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.833.804.2728.57%26.08%26.32%23.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.88%3.86cote équitable
EV -2.42%
Avantage -0.643%
Kelly -0.875%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.77
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.03%25.89%25.87%27.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.493.503.7733.33%28.64%28.57%26.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.80%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.71%EV -8.93%E -2.30%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -2.42%E -0.643%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 20:29 |
| Unibet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.55%E -3.99%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| Grosvenor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.55%E -3.99%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.55%E -3.99%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.55%E -3.99%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.55%E -3.99%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 20:33 |
| GTbets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.53%EV -4.72%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 20:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.90%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -4.02%E -0.980%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 20:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.73%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -15.72%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -13.30%E -3.97%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 20:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.31%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%EV -1.68%E -0.399%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72%EV -2.94%E -0.785%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 20:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.31%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%EV -1.68%E -0.399%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72%EV -2.94%E -0.785%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 20:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -15.72%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -13.30%E -3.97%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-04 20:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.68%E -3.06%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.46%EV -0.037%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.99%EV -4.50%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 20:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.53%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 20:32 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.53%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 20:32 |
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.02%E -0.980%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 20:32 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 20:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -13.38%E -3.62%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 20:35 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -15.72%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| PlayUp | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -12.21%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 20:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.93%EV -7.71%E -4.24%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%EV -5.19%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.18%EV -8.38%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 20:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.71%E -4.24%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| BetUS | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -7.71%E -4.24%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -9.87%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 20:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -7.71%E -4.24%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -12.21%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 20:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.81%EV -8.22%E -4.54%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -7.53%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 20:28 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.21%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.21%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.72%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 20:29 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.72%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 20:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.38%E -3.62%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.38%E -3.62%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.04%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-04 20:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.04%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-04 20:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.21%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -13.38%E -3.62%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.74%EV -9.74%E -5.47%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -9.87%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 20:31 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.45%EV -11.77%E -6.76%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -13.38%E -3.62%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -12.28%E -7.10%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -12.21%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.29%EV -12.28%E -7.10%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.87%EV -18.06%E -5.16%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.85%EV -22.35%E -7.45%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.00%EV -13.80%E -8.12%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -4.02%E -0.980%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 51.50%EV -14.30%E -8.46%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.90%EV -11.04%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-04 20:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.05% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.05% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.05% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 20:35 |
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.97% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.61% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.41% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 20:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 20:33 |