La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Deportes Limache v Union La Calera
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Deportes Limache (Local)
Predicción 50.71%1.97momio equitativo
EV -2.13%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -2.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.70%50.69%50.76%53.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.691.831.831.9359.17%54.59%54.64%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Union La Calera (Visitante)
Predicción 23.41%4.27momio equitativo
EV -0.037%
Ventaja -0.009%
Kelly -0.011%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.97%23.42%23.37%25.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.833.804.2728.57%26.08%26.32%23.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.88%3.86momio equitativo
EV -2.42%
Ventaja -0.643%
Kelly -0.875%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.03%25.89%25.87%27.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.493.503.7733.33%28.64%28.57%26.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.80%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.71%EV -8.93%E -2.30%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -2.42%E -0.643%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 20:29 |
| Unibet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.55%E -3.99%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| Grosvenor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.55%E -3.99%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.55%E -3.99%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.55%E -3.99%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -2.13%E -1.11%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.55%E -3.99%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 20:33 |
| GTbets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.53%EV -4.72%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 20:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.90%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -4.02%E -0.980%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 20:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.73%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -15.72%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -13.30%E -3.97%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 20:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.31%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%EV -1.68%E -0.399%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72%EV -2.94%E -0.785%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 20:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.31%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%EV -1.68%E -0.399%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72%EV -2.94%E -0.785%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 20:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -15.72%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -13.30%E -3.97%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-04 20:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.68%E -3.06%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.46%EV -0.037%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.99%EV -4.50%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 20:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.53%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 20:32 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.53%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 20:32 |
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.02%E -0.980%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 20:32 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 20:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -13.38%E -3.62%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 20:35 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -15.72%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| PlayUp | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -12.21%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 20:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.93%EV -7.71%E -4.24%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%EV -5.19%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.18%EV -8.38%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 20:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.71%E -4.24%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| BetUS | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -7.71%E -4.24%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -9.87%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 20:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -7.71%E -4.24%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -12.21%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 20:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.81%EV -8.22%E -4.54%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -7.53%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 20:28 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.21%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.21%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.72%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 20:29 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.72%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 20:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.38%E -3.62%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.38%E -3.62%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.04%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-04 20:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.04%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-04 20:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.21%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -13.38%E -3.62%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.74%EV -9.74%E -5.47%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -9.87%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 20:31 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.45%EV -11.77%E -6.76%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -13.38%E -3.62%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -12.28%E -7.10%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -12.21%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.29%EV -12.28%E -7.10%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.87%EV -18.06%E -5.16%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.85%EV -22.35%E -7.45%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.00%EV -13.80%E -8.12%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -4.02%E -0.980%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -6.82%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 20:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 51.50%EV -14.30%E -8.46%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.90%EV -11.04%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-04 20:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.05% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.05% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.05% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 20:35 |
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.97% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.61% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.41% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 20:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 20:33 |