The School of Odds

Deportes Concepción v Universidad Católica (CHI)

2026-08-02 16:30 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Deportes Concepción (Local)

Prediction 24.38%4.10fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -0.623%
Kelly -0.830%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.74%24.36%24.23%25.71%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.503.763.754.0028.57%26.63%26.70%25.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visit)

Prediction 50.26%1.99fair odd
EV -3.51%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -3.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.25%50.18%50.36%51.99%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.731.801.801.9257.80%55.42%55.56%52.08%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 25.37%3.94fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.03%25.47%25.42%26.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.303.543.603.7830.30%28.21%27.78%26.46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -2.49%E -0.623%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -10.54%E -5.92%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 01:00
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -2.49%E -0.623%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -11.05%E -6.24%K -14.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-27 01:00
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -2.49%E -0.623%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -12.05%E -6.89%K -16.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-27 01:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -2.49%E -0.623%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -12.05%E -6.89%K -16.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-27 01:00
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.93%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -9.54%E -5.30%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 00:51
Marathon Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -8.03%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 01:09
1xBet3.79I 26.39%NM 24.55%EV -7.61%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 01:15
LeoVegas3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -9.80%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.16%EV -9.54%E -5.30%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -9.95%E -2.80%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-27 01:10
Pinnacle3.68I 27.17%NM 25.71%EV -10.29%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.27%EV -3.51%E -1.83%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.03%EV -4.11%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 02:00
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 24.16%EV -12.24%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.27%EV -13.06%E -7.55%K -17.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.58%EV -13.75%E -4.05%K -5.73%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-27 01:15
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -12.24%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.88%EV -13.06%E -7.55%K -17.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.15%EV -16.29%E -4.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-27 01:00
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.68%E -4.19%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.75%E -4.05%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-27 01:05
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.68%E -4.19%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.75%E -4.05%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-27 00:46
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.68%E -4.19%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.75%E -4.05%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-27 01:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.