Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Deportes Concepción v Universidad Católica (CHI)

Início: 2026-08-02 16:32 UTC

Final: Deportes Concepción 3–0 Universidad Católica (CHI)

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Deportes Concepción (Local)

Previsão 30.37%3.29odd justa
EV +1.73%
Vantagem +0.518%
Kelly +0.738%
Crescimento +0.013%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.53%30.29%30.26%32.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.043.053.3534.48%32.86%32.73%29.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visitante)

Previsão 42.57%2.35odd justa
EV -2.10%
Vantagem -0.912%
Kelly -1.61%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.34%42.67%42.63%44.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.152.152.3050.00%46.47%46.51%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.07%3.69odd justa
EV -2.30%
Vantagem -0.636%
Kelly -0.879%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.38%27.03%27.11%28.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.353.303.6131.25%29.86%30.30%27.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Deportes Concepción (Local): 30.37%; Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visitante): 42.57%; Empate: 27.07%. Para Deportes Concepción (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.29. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.35, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.73%.

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62%EV +1.73%E +0.518%K +0.738%G +0.013%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.98%EV -7.20%E -3.30%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -5.27%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 16:19
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -1.30%E -0.401%K -0.579%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -11.46%E -5.51%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -6.63%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 16:24
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -1.30%E -0.401%K -0.579%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -11.46%E -5.51%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -6.63%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.94%EV -3.43%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.68%EV -7.20%E -3.30%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.38%EV -2.30%E -0.636%K -0.879%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 16:09
LowVig.ag🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.94%EV -3.43%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.68%EV -7.20%E -3.30%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.38%EV -2.30%E -0.636%K -0.879%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 16:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -4.34%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -10.69%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 16:05
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -4.34%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -10.69%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 16:05
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -4.34%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -10.69%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 16:04
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -4.34%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -10.69%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 16:05
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -4.34%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -10.69%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 16:04
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -4.34%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.96%EV -8.91%E -4.16%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.69%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 16:05
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.86%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 16:19
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.86%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 16:23
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.86%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 16:25
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.86%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 16:23
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.86%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -9.76%E -4.60%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 16:05
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.86%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -12.74%E -6.21%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 16:24
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.86%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -13.39%E -4.18%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 16:04
Pinnacle🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.44%EV -7.07%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.83%EV -2.10%E -0.912%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73%EV -2.57%E -0.713%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 16:20
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.38%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -5.27%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 16:10
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -7.38%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -9.33%E -2.79%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 16:19
Marathon Bet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 30.70%EV -8.29%E -2.74%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.34%EV -6.78%E -3.10%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.96%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 16:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 16:19
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.69%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-02 16:04
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -10.41%E -3.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.53%EV -9.76%E -4.60%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -9.33%E -2.79%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-02 16:24
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -11.93%E -4.11%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.27%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 16:20
Everygame🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.93%E -4.11%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 16:15
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.93%E -4.11%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.93%E -4.11%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.93%E -4.11%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 16:24
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.93%E -4.11%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.39%E -4.18%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-02 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.93%E -4.11%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.39%E -4.18%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-02 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.93%E -4.11%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.39%E -4.18%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-02 16:24
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.93%E -4.11%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.39%E -4.18%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-02 16:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.93%E -4.11%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 16:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.93%E -4.11%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 16:20
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -11.93%E -4.11%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -13.39%E -4.18%K -6.09%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-02 16:19
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -11.93%E -4.11%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -14.87%E -7.43%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -10.69%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-02 16:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-08-02 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-08-02 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-08-02 16:20
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.76%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.0%2026-08-02 16:25