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Deportes Concepción v Universidad Católica (CHI)
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Deportes Concepción (Local)
Predicción 30.37%3.29momio equitativo
EV +1.73%
Ventaja +0.518%
Kelly +0.738%
Crecimiento +0.013%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.53%30.29%30.26%32.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.043.053.3534.48%32.86%32.73%29.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visitante)
Predicción 42.57%2.35momio equitativo
EV -2.10%
Ventaja -0.912%
Kelly -1.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.34%42.67%42.63%44.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.152.152.3050.00%46.47%46.51%43.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.07%3.69momio equitativo
EV -2.30%
Ventaja -0.636%
Kelly -0.879%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.38%27.03%27.11%28.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.353.303.6131.25%29.86%30.30%27.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Deportes Concepción (Local): 30.37%; Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visitante): 42.57%; Empate: 27.07%. Para Deportes Concepción (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.29. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.35, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.73%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62%EV +1.73%E +0.518%K +0.738%G +0.013% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.98%EV -7.20%E -3.30%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -5.27%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 16:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -1.30%E -0.401%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -11.46%E -5.51%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -6.63%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 16:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -1.30%E -0.401%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -11.46%E -5.51%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -6.63%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 16:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.94%EV -3.43%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.68%EV -7.20%E -3.30%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.38%EV -2.30%E -0.636%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 16:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.94%EV -3.43%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.68%EV -7.20%E -3.30%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.38%EV -2.30%E -0.636%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 16:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -4.34%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -10.69%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 16:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -4.34%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -10.69%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 16:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -4.34%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -10.69%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 16:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -4.34%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -10.69%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 16:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -4.34%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -10.69%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 16:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -4.34%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.96%EV -8.91%E -4.16%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.69%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 16:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.86%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 16:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.86%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 16:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.86%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 16:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.86%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 16:23 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.86%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -9.76%E -4.60%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-02 16:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.86%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -12.74%E -6.21%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-02 16:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.86%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -13.39%E -4.18%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-02 16:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.44%EV -7.07%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.83%EV -2.10%E -0.912%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73%EV -2.57%E -0.713%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-02 16:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.38%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -5.27%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 16:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -7.38%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -9.33%E -2.79%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-02 16:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.70%EV -8.29%E -2.74%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.34%EV -6.78%E -3.10%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.96%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 16:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 16:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.90%E -2.97%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.69%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-02 16:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -10.41%E -3.53%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.53%EV -9.76%E -4.60%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -9.33%E -2.79%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-02 16:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -11.93%E -4.11%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.27%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-02 16:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.93%E -4.11%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-02 16:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.93%E -4.11%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-02 16:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.93%E -4.11%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-02 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.93%E -4.11%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-02 16:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.93%E -4.11%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.39%E -4.18%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-02 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.93%E -4.11%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.39%E -4.18%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-02 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.93%E -4.11%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.39%E -4.18%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-02 16:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.93%E -4.11%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.39%E -4.18%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-02 16:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.93%E -4.11%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-02 16:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.93%E -4.11%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-02 16:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -11.93%E -4.11%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -10.61%E -5.05%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -13.39%E -4.18%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-02 16:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -11.93%E -4.11%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -14.87%E -7.43%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -10.69%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-02 16:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45% | 1.2% | 2026-08-02 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45% | 1.2% | 2026-08-02 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45% | 1.2% | 2026-08-02 16:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.76% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19% | 3.0% | 2026-08-02 16:25 |