The School of Odds

Deportes Concepción v O'Higgins

2026-07-27 00:30 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Deportes Concepción (Local)

Prediction 30.37%3.29fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -0.982%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.16%30.37%30.37%31.57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.752.932.903.1936%34%34%31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

O'Higgins (Visit)

Prediction 41.71%2.40fair odd
EV -6.15%
Edge -2.73%
Kelly -4.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.02%41.71%41.71%42.74%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.192.2550%46%46%44%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.92%3.58fair odd
EV -7.86%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -3.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.29%27.92%27.92%28.68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.003.223.253.3033%31%31%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.21%EV -3.13%E -0.982%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.55%EV -8.65%E -3.95%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-13 12:44
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.16%EV -3.44%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -9.48%E -4.37%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-13 12:45
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -9.07%E -4.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-13 06:32
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.35%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -9.07%E -4.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-13 06:33
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.94%E -4.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-13 06:32
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.94%E -4.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-13 06:34
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -11.94%E -4.12%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -14.49%E -7.07%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-13 06:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -12.55%E -4.36%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -9.25%E -2.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-13 06:35
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -12.55%E -4.36%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -8.23%E -3.74%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -9.25%E -2.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-13 06:34
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -16.49%E -6.00%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.02%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.68%EV -16.23%E -5.41%K -8.12%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-13 06:35
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 30.52%EV -16.49%E -6.00%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.96%EV -16.58%E -8.29%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.52%EV -14.84%E -4.86%K -7.24%G +0.000%19.2%2026-07-13 06:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-13 09:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-13 09:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-13 09:45