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Deportes Concepción v O'Higgins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Deportes Concepción (Local)
Prediction 53.04%1.89fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -2.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.77%52.77%53.18%54.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.751.751.8559.88%57.02%57.14%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
O'Higgins (Visit)
Prediction 21.11%4.74fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -0.489%
Kelly -0.623%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.32%21.34%20.89%23.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.254.204.6326.32%23.51%23.81%21.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.85%3.87fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -0.602%
Kelly -0.818%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.94%25.89%25.92%26.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.513.503.7830.30%28.51%28.57%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Deportes Concepción (Local): 53.04%; O'Higgins (Visit): 21.11%; Draw: 25.85%. For Deportes Concepción (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.85, with an expected value of -1.88%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.85%EV -1.88%E -1.02%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.51%EV -5.85%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.64%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Unibet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.77%EV -4.00%E -2.21%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -15.56%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.77%EV -4.00%E -2.21%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -15.56%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.77%EV -4.00%E -2.21%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -15.56%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.77%EV -4.00%E -2.21%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -15.56%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.77%EV -4.00%E -2.21%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -15.56%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -4.53%E -2.52%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -15.56%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-27 00:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.59%EV -5.06%E -2.83%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.90%EV -3.11%E -0.677%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.51%EV -2.79%E -0.742%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-27 00:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.90%EV -5.59%E -3.14%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.72%EV -2.26%E -0.489%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.38%EV -2.27%E -0.602%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.90%EV -5.59%E -3.14%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.72%EV -2.26%E -0.489%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.38%EV -2.27%E -0.602%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.19%EV -5.59%E -3.14%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -6.06%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -10.81%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.19%EV -5.59%E -3.14%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -6.06%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -10.81%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.85%EV -5.59%E -3.14%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -16.62%E -4.21%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -10.81%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.12%E -3.46%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.79%EV -6.65%E -3.78%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -17.67%E -4.53%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.18%E -4.11%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -8.60%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.18%E -4.11%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 00:20 |
| betano_uk | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.18%E -4.11%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 00:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.57%EV -7.18%E -4.11%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -8.17%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-27 00:20 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -7.18%E -4.11%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -15.56%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -7.18%E -4.11%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -15.56%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -7.18%E -4.11%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -15.56%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.10%EV -7.72%E -4.43%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -2.90%E -0.630%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.72%E -4.43%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -2.90%E -0.630%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 00:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.28%EV -7.72%E -4.43%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -6.06%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -7.44%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.25%E -4.77%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.25%E -4.77%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.25%E -4.77%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.25%E -4.77%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.91%EV -8.25%E -4.77%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.18%EV -19.78%E -5.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-27 00:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -8.78%E -5.10%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-27 00:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -8.78%E -5.10%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.75%EV -12.40%E -2.99%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -9.84%E -5.79%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.12%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.84%E -5.79%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -8.60%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-27 00:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.00%EV -9.84%E -5.79%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -13.45%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-27 00:05 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.84%E -5.79%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-27 00:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.51%EV -10.37%E -6.13%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.38%EV -12.40%E -2.99%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -11.43%E -6.84%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -8.60%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-27 00:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.82% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 0.4% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.64% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.64% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.95% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.58% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47% | 2.1% | 2026-07-27 00:10 |