La escuela de los momios

Deportes Concepción v O'Higgins

2026-07-27 00:30 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Resultado del partido

38 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Deportes Concepción (Local)

Predicción 38.48%2.60momio equitativo
EV -4.18%
Ventaja -1.68%
Kelly -2.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.49

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.42%38.72%38.45%41.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.362.382.4945.45%42.36%42.02%40.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

O'Higgins (Visitante)

Predicción 33.49%2.99momio equitativo
EV +0.467%
Ventaja +0.156%
Kelly +0.233%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.82%33.26%33.48%34.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.782.753.0038.46%36.02%36.36%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.03%3.57momio equitativo
EV -2.74%
Ventaja -0.789%
Kelly -1.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.32%28.02%28.07%28.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.253.253.4732.26%30.81%30.77%28.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -12.26%E -5.38%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV +0.467%E +0.156%K +0.233%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 14:34
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -12.26%E -5.38%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV +0.467%E +0.156%K +0.233%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 14:35
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -12.26%E -5.38%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV +0.467%E +0.156%K +0.233%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -12.26%E -5.38%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV +0.467%E +0.156%K +0.233%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 14:35
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -12.26%E -5.38%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV +0.467%E +0.156%K +0.233%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 14:35
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -13.42%E -5.96%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -1.21%E -0.409%K -0.619%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 14:34
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.77%EV -14.19%E -6.36%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -1.21%E -0.409%K -0.619%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -10.31%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-20 17:05
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -15.34%E -6.97%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -2.88%E -0.994%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -10.31%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 17:05
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -8.41%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 12:54
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -15.34%E -6.97%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 19:55
Pinnacle2.49I 40.16%NM 38.45%EV -4.18%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.95%EV -5.56%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.59%EV -2.74%E -0.789%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-26 04:10
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.64%EV -7.26%E -3.01%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.14%EV -5.90%E -2.10%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 08:35
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.72%E -2.33%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.23%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 04:20
LowVig.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -5.33%E -2.17%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.23%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.10%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 06:30
BetOnline.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -5.33%E -2.17%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.23%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.10%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 06:30
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 38.75%EV -8.03%E -3.36%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.19%EV -6.57%E -2.35%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 08:25
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -4.57%E -1.84%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -6.90%E -2.48%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 04:09
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -4.57%E -1.84%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -6.90%E -2.48%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 04:10
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.64%E -3.18%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.91%E -2.87%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 06:09
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.72%E -2.33%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.91%E -2.87%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 04:04
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.64%E -3.18%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.91%E -2.87%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-24 12:35
betano_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.64%E -3.18%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.91%E -2.87%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-24 12:33
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -9.57%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.91%E -2.87%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -10.31%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 06:34
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.49%EV -13.42%E -5.96%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -7.91%E -2.87%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -11.71%E -3.72%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-26 00:34
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.72%E -2.33%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 05:04
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.41%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.11%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-26 00:34
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.41%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.11%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-26 00:34
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.41%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.11%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-26 00:35
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -11.49%E -5.00%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.31%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-26 02:04
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.64%E -3.18%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -11.25%E -4.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -6.10%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 05:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -8.41%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.46%EV -11.92%E -4.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 05:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -8.41%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -11.92%E -4.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.11%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-26 04:04
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -8.41%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -11.92%E -4.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.11%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-26 04:04
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -8.41%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -12.26%E -4.68%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 05:03
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.47%EV -8.80%E -3.71%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -12.26%E -4.68%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -13.11%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-26 04:04
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.47%EV -8.80%E -3.71%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -12.26%E -4.68%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -13.11%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-26 04:04
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -13.42%E -5.96%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -12.26%E -4.68%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -13.11%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-25 02:50
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -8.41%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -12.93%E -4.97%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 05:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.71%1.1%2026-07-26 08:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 38.90%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.68%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-07-26 06:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 38.90%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.68%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-07-26 06:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 38.90%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.68%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-07-26 04:20