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Deportes Concepción v O'Higgins
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Deportes Concepción (Local)
Predicción 53.04%1.89momio equitativo
EV -1.88%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -2.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.77%52.77%53.18%54.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.671.751.751.8559.88%57.02%57.14%54.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
O'Higgins (Visitante)
Predicción 21.11%4.74momio equitativo
EV -2.26%
Ventaja -0.489%
Kelly -0.623%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.32%21.34%20.89%23.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.804.254.204.6326.32%23.51%23.81%21.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.85%3.87momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -0.602%
Kelly -0.818%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.94%25.89%25.92%26.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.513.503.7830.30%28.51%28.57%26.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Deportes Concepción (Local): 53.04%; O'Higgins (Visitante): 21.11%; Empate: 25.85%. Para Deportes Concepción (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.89. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.85, con un valor esperado de -1.88%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.85%EV -1.88%E -1.02%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.51%EV -5.85%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.64%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.77%EV -4.00%E -2.21%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -15.56%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.77%EV -4.00%E -2.21%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -15.56%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.77%EV -4.00%E -2.21%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -15.56%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.77%EV -4.00%E -2.21%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -15.56%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.77%EV -4.00%E -2.21%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -15.56%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -4.53%E -2.52%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -15.56%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-27 00:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.59%EV -5.06%E -2.83%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.90%EV -3.11%E -0.677%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.51%EV -2.79%E -0.742%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-27 00:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.90%EV -5.59%E -3.14%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.72%EV -2.26%E -0.489%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.38%EV -2.27%E -0.602%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.90%EV -5.59%E -3.14%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.72%EV -2.26%E -0.489%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.38%EV -2.27%E -0.602%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.19%EV -5.59%E -3.14%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -6.06%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -10.81%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.19%EV -5.59%E -3.14%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -6.06%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -10.81%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.85%EV -5.59%E -3.14%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -16.62%E -4.21%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -10.81%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.12%E -3.46%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.79%EV -6.65%E -3.78%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -17.67%E -4.53%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.18%E -4.11%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -8.60%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.18%E -4.11%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 00:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.18%E -4.11%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 00:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.57%EV -7.18%E -4.11%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -8.17%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-27 00:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -7.18%E -4.11%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -15.56%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -7.18%E -4.11%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -15.56%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -7.18%E -4.11%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -15.56%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.10%EV -7.72%E -4.43%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -2.90%E -0.630%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.72%E -4.43%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -2.90%E -0.630%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 00:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.28%EV -7.72%E -4.43%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -6.06%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -7.44%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.25%E -4.77%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.25%E -4.77%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.25%E -4.77%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.25%E -4.77%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.91%EV -8.25%E -4.77%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.18%EV -19.78%E -5.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-27 00:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -8.78%E -5.10%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-27 00:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -8.78%E -5.10%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.75%EV -12.40%E -2.99%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -9.84%E -5.79%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.12%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.84%E -5.79%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -8.60%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-27 00:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.00%EV -9.84%E -5.79%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -13.45%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-27 00:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.84%E -5.79%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-27 00:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.51%EV -10.37%E -6.13%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.38%EV -12.40%E -2.99%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -11.43%E -6.84%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -8.60%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-27 00:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.82% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 0.4% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.64% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.64% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-07-27 00:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.95% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.58% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47% | 2.1% | 2026-07-27 00:10 |