L’École des cotes

Deportes Concepción v O'Higgins

2026-07-27 00:30 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Deportes Concepción (Local)

Prévision 39.17%2.55cote équitable
EV -4.04%
Avantage -1.65%
Kelly -2.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.75%39.30%38.98%41.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.312.292.4545.45%43.25%43.67%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

O'Higgins (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.99%3.03cote équitable
EV -1.04%
Avantage -0.346%
Kelly -0.518%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.82%32.83%33.06%33.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.622.822.803.0038.17%35.42%35.65%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.84%3.59cote équitable
EV -3.38%
Avantage -0.975%
Kelly -1.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.18%27.88%27.96%28.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.273.253.4732.26%30.58%30.77%28.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 39.07%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.35%EV -5.33%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.58%EV -3.38%E -0.975%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 02:10
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 38.93%EV -5.21%E -2.15%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.94%EV -5.66%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 02:29
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 38.93%EV -5.21%E -2.15%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.94%EV -5.66%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 02:29
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.57%EV -5.21%E -2.15%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.57%EV -8.29%E -2.98%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 21:04
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.57%EV -5.21%E -2.15%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.57%EV -8.29%E -2.98%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 21:04
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -5.99%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -5.98%E -2.10%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -3.94%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 00:34
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -5.99%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.93%EV -6.64%E -2.35%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 02:05
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.99%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -9.28%E -3.38%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 06:09
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -5.99%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -9.28%E -3.38%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-24 12:35
betano_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -5.99%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -9.28%E -3.38%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-24 12:33
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -5.98%E -2.10%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 12:54
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.94%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 32.98%EV -7.30%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 01:59
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -10.93%E -4.05%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.69%E -4.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-26 00:34
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -10.93%E -4.05%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.69%E -4.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-26 00:34
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -10.93%E -4.05%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.69%E -4.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-26 00:35
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.34%E -1.50%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 00:35
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -5.00%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 09:39
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.28%E -3.38%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.90%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 12:55
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -10.93%E -4.05%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.90%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-26 02:04
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -10.70%E -4.69%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -1.04%E -0.346%K -0.518%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 14:34
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -10.70%E -4.69%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -1.04%E -0.346%K -0.518%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 14:35
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -10.70%E -4.69%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -1.04%E -0.346%K -0.518%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -10.70%E -4.69%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -1.04%E -0.346%K -0.518%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 14:35
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -10.70%E -4.69%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -1.04%E -0.346%K -0.518%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 14:35
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -11.87%E -5.28%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -2.69%E -0.911%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 14:34
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -11.87%E -5.28%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -5.98%E -2.10%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-22 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -11.87%E -5.28%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -9.28%E -3.38%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-24 09:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -11.87%E -5.28%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -9.28%E -3.38%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-24 09:40
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -11.87%E -5.28%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -9.28%E -3.38%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-24 09:40
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -11.87%E -5.28%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -9.28%E -3.38%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-24 09:39
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.49%EV -11.87%E -5.28%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -9.28%E -3.38%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -12.29%E -3.90%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-26 00:34
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -11.87%E -5.28%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -13.57%E -5.18%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -13.69%E -4.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-25 02:50
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.77%EV -12.65%E -5.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -2.69%E -0.911%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -10.90%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-20 17:05
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -13.83%E -6.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -5.98%E -2.10%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 19:55
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -13.83%E -6.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -4.34%E -1.50%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -10.90%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 17:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -13.83%E -6.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -7.63%E -2.73%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 00:34
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -13.83%E -6.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -7.63%E -2.73%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-22 20:33
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -13.83%E -6.29%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -9.28%E -3.38%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-24 00:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.71%1.1%2026-07-26 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.01%2.0%2026-07-26 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.01%2.0%2026-07-26 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.01%2.0%2026-07-26 02:05