Language:English
Deportes Concepción v La Serena
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Deportes Concepción (Local)
Prediction 35.02%2.86fair odd
EV -3.34%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.38%35.20%35.04%39.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.542.602.7643.86%39.35%38.46%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
La Serena (Visit)
Prediction 35.57%2.81fair odd
EV +1.38%
Edge +0.484%
Kelly +0.745%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.06%35.41%35.62%37.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.612.602.8542.55%38.36%38.46%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.41%3.40fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -0.896%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.67%29.39%29.34%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.113.153.3037.04%32.10%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Deportes Concepción (Local): 35.02%; La Serena (Visit): 35.57%; Draw: 29.41%. For La Serena (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.38%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.28%EV -18.40%E -7.90%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV +1.38%E +0.484%K +0.745%G +0.010% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.28%EV -18.40%E -7.90%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV +1.38%E +0.484%K +0.745%G +0.010% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.28%EV -18.40%E -7.90%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV +1.38%E +0.484%K +0.745%G +0.010% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 23:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.28%EV -18.40%E -7.90%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV +1.38%E +0.484%K +0.745%G +0.010% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.28%EV -18.40%E -7.90%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV +1.38%E +0.484%K +0.745%G +0.010% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.28%EV -18.40%E -7.90%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV +1.38%E +0.484%K +0.745%G +0.010% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.39%EV -18.75%E -8.08%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.06%EV +1.38%E +0.484%K +0.745%G +0.010% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -20.15%E -8.84%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -0.400%E -0.143%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -4.39%E -1.61%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -2.89%E -1.06%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.71%EV -5.02%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 23:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.89%EV -3.34%E -1.21%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.40%EV -3.25%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.72%EV -4.72%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 23:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.39%EV -4.04%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.69%EV -6.09%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.91%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.39%EV -4.04%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.69%EV -6.09%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.91%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.80%E -2.60%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 23:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.13%EV -4.74%E -1.74%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.43%EV -6.80%E -2.60%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.13%EV -4.74%E -1.74%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.43%EV -6.80%E -2.60%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.36%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.50%EV -7.16%E -2.74%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.14%EV -6.49%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 23:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 23:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -9.29%E -3.64%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -12.45%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -9.29%E -3.64%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -12.45%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.18%EV -9.29%E -3.64%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -12.45%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.07%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.07%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-18 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.07%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-18 23:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.07%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-18 23:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -14.20%E -5.79%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.07%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.45%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.07%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.23%EV -15.95%E -6.65%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.78%EV -11.07%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.99%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.85%E -5.24%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.85%E -5.24%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 23:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.85%E -5.24%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.85%E -5.24%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -14.63%E -6.10%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.62%EV -15.95%E -6.65%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.62%EV -14.63%E -6.10%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -20.60%E -7.63%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.15%EV -16.41%E -6.98%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-18 23:58 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.13% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.37% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.50% | 2.4% | 2026-04-19 00:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.13% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.37% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.50% | 2.4% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.86% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.27% | 3.3% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |