L’École des cotes

Deportes Concepción v La Serena

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 00:02 UTC

Score final : Deportes Concepción 3–3 La Serena

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Deportes Concepción (Local)

Prévision 35.02%2.86cote équitable
EV -3.34%
Avantage -1.21%
Kelly -1.90%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.38%35.20%35.04%39.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.282.542.602.7643.86%39.35%38.46%36.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

La Serena (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.57%2.81cote équitable
EV +1.38%
Avantage +0.484%
Kelly +0.745%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.06%35.41%35.62%37.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.612.602.8542.55%38.36%38.46%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.41%3.40cote équitable
EV -2.96%
Avantage -0.896%
Kelly -1.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.67%29.39%29.34%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.113.153.3037.04%32.10%31.75%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.28%EV -18.40%E -7.90%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV +1.38%E +0.484%K +0.745%G +0.010%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.28%EV -18.40%E -7.90%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV +1.38%E +0.484%K +0.745%G +0.010%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 00:00
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 39.28%EV -18.40%E -7.90%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV +1.38%E +0.484%K +0.745%G +0.010%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 23:55
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 39.28%EV -18.40%E -7.90%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV +1.38%E +0.484%K +0.745%G +0.010%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 00:00
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.28%EV -18.40%E -7.90%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV +1.38%E +0.484%K +0.745%G +0.010%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 00:00
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 39.28%EV -18.40%E -7.90%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV +1.38%E +0.484%K +0.745%G +0.010%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 00:00
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.39%EV -18.75%E -8.08%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.06%EV +1.38%E +0.484%K +0.745%G +0.010%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 00:00
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -20.15%E -8.84%K -15.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -0.400%E -0.143%K -0.222%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 00:00
1xBet2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -4.39%E -1.61%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -2.89%E -1.06%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.71%EV -5.02%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 23:59
Pinnacle2.76I 36.23%NM 34.89%EV -3.34%E -1.21%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.40%EV -3.25%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.72%EV -4.72%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 23:59
BetOnline.ag2.74I 36.50%NM 34.39%EV -4.04%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.69%EV -6.09%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.91%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 00:00
LowVig.ag2.74I 36.50%NM 34.39%EV -4.04%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.69%EV -6.09%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.91%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 00:00
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.80%E -2.60%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 23:59
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 34.13%EV -4.74%E -1.74%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.43%EV -6.80%E -2.60%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 00:00
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.13%EV -4.74%E -1.74%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.43%EV -6.80%E -2.60%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 00:00
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.36%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.50%EV -7.16%E -2.74%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.14%EV -6.49%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 23:59
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 00:00
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 00:00
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 23:59
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 00:00
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -9.29%E -3.64%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 00:00
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -12.45%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -9.29%E -3.64%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 00:00
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -12.45%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.18%EV -9.29%E -3.64%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 00:00
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -12.45%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.07%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 00:00
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.07%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-18 23:59
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.07%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-18 23:59
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.07%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-18 23:59
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -14.20%E -5.79%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.07%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-19 00:00
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.45%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.07%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-19 00:00
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.23%EV -15.95%E -6.65%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.78%EV -11.07%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.99%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-19 00:00
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.85%E -5.24%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.85%E -5.24%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 23:59
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.85%E -5.24%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.85%E -5.24%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 00:00
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -14.63%E -6.10%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.62%EV -15.95%E -6.65%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.62%EV -14.63%E -6.10%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -20.60%E -7.63%K -12.12%G +0.000%20.4%2026-04-19 00:00
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.15%EV -16.41%E -6.98%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-18 23:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.13%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.50%2.4%2026-04-19 00:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.13%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.50%2.4%2026-04-19 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 33.86%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.27%3.3%2026-04-19 00:00