La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Deportes Concepción v La Serena
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Deportes Concepción (Casa)
Previsione 35.02%2.86quota equa
EV -3.34%
Vantaggio -1.21%
Kelly -1.90%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.76
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.38%35.20%35.04%39.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.282.542.602.7643.86%39.35%38.46%36.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
La Serena (Trasferta)
Previsione 35.57%2.81quota equa
EV +1.38%
Vantaggio +0.484%
Kelly +0.745%
Crescita +0.010%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.85
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.06%35.41%35.62%37.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.612.602.8542.55%38.36%38.46%35.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 29.41%3.40quota equa
EV -2.96%
Vantaggio -0.896%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.67%29.39%29.34%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.703.113.153.3037.04%32.10%31.75%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.28%EV -18.40%E -7.90%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV +1.38%E +0.484%K +0.745%G +0.010% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.28%EV -18.40%E -7.90%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV +1.38%E +0.484%K +0.745%G +0.010% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.28%EV -18.40%E -7.90%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV +1.38%E +0.484%K +0.745%G +0.010% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 23:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.28%EV -18.40%E -7.90%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV +1.38%E +0.484%K +0.745%G +0.010% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.28%EV -18.40%E -7.90%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV +1.38%E +0.484%K +0.745%G +0.010% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.28%EV -18.40%E -7.90%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV +1.38%E +0.484%K +0.745%G +0.010% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.39%EV -18.75%E -8.08%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.06%EV +1.38%E +0.484%K +0.745%G +0.010% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -20.15%E -8.84%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -0.400%E -0.143%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -4.39%E -1.61%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -2.89%E -1.06%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.71%EV -5.02%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 23:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.89%EV -3.34%E -1.21%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.40%EV -3.25%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.72%EV -4.72%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 23:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.39%EV -4.04%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.69%EV -6.09%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.91%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.39%EV -4.04%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.69%EV -6.09%E -2.31%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.91%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.80%E -2.60%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 23:59 |
| Betsson | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.13%EV -4.74%E -1.74%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.43%EV -6.80%E -2.60%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.13%EV -4.74%E -1.74%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.43%EV -6.80%E -2.60%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.36%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.50%EV -7.16%E -2.74%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.14%EV -6.49%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 23:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 23:59 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -9.29%E -3.64%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -12.45%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -9.29%E -3.64%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -2.96%E -0.896%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -12.45%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.18%EV -9.29%E -3.64%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -12.45%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.07%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| 888sport | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.07%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-18 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.07%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-18 23:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.07%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-18 23:59 |
| Sky Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -14.20%E -5.79%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.07%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.45%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.07%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.23%EV -15.95%E -6.65%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.78%EV -11.07%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.99%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.85%E -5.24%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.85%E -5.24%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 23:59 |
| Coral | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.85%E -5.24%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.85%E -5.24%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -5.44%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -14.63%E -6.10%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.62%EV -15.95%E -6.65%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.62%EV -14.63%E -6.10%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -20.60%E -7.63%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.15%EV -16.41%E -6.98%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-18 23:58 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.13% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.37% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.50% | 2.4% | 2026-04-19 00:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.13% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.37% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.50% | 2.4% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.86% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.27% | 3.3% | 2026-04-19 00:00 |