Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportes Concepción v Deportes Limache

Kickoff: 2026-06-14 16:30 UTC

Final: Deportes Concepción 3–2 Deportes Limache

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportes Concepción (Local)

Prediction 36.69%2.73fair odd
EV +7.13%
Edge +2.44%
Kelly +3.71%
Growth +0.265%

assuming max odds 2.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.98%36.23%36.69%37.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.562.502.9242.55%39.03%40.00%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Deportes Limache (Visit)

Prediction 35.77%2.80fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -0.726%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.32%36.26%35.78%40.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.512.502.7444.44%39.90%40.00%36.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.54%3.63fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.38%27.51%27.53%30.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.313.333.5037.04%30.25%30.08%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Deportes Concepción (Local): 36.69%; Deportes Limache (Visit): 35.77%; Draw: 27.54%. For Deportes Concepción (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.73. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.92, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.13%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV +7.13%E +2.44%K +3.71%G +0.265%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -18.44%E -8.09%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 02:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV +2.72%E +0.973%K +1.51%G +0.041%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.98%EV -17.01%E -7.33%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-14 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV +2.72%E +0.973%K +1.51%G +0.041%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.98%EV -17.01%E -7.33%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-14 16:10
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV +2.72%E +0.973%K +1.51%G +0.041%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.98%EV -17.01%E -7.33%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-14 16:10
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV +2.72%E +0.973%K +1.51%G +0.041%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.98%EV -17.01%E -7.33%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-14 16:20
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV +2.72%E +0.973%K +1.51%G +0.041%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.98%EV -17.01%E -7.33%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-14 16:20
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV +0.890%E +0.324%K +0.509%G +0.005%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -17.73%E -7.71%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-14 16:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV +0.890%E +0.324%K +0.509%G +0.005%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -18.44%E -8.09%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 16:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -0.944%E -0.350%K -0.555%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.92%EV -19.52%E -8.67%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-14 16:10
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.63%EV -3.88%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.95%EV -4.49%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-14 16:20
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -3.88%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-14 16:19
Pinnacle🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.89%EV -4.25%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.53%EV -3.06%E -1.13%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-14 16:20
NordicBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.28%EV -5.35%E -2.07%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -4.14%E -1.54%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 16:20
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -6.45%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -5.21%E -1.97%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 16:19
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -6.45%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-14 16:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -6.45%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -12.36%E -5.05%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-14 16:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.50%EV -6.81%E -2.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -8.07%E -3.14%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.43%EV -6.91%E -2.04%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-14 16:20
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.42%E -1.27%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-14 16:11
BetOnline.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -1.99%E -0.726%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -1.99%E -0.726%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -7.73%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 16:20
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.60%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 16:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-14 16:10
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.28%E -2.40%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.86%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-14 16:20
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -7.00%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-14 16:20
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.86%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-14 16:20
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.86%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-14 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.86%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-14 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.86%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-14 16:20
Everygame🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-14 16:09
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-14 16:20
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-14 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-14 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-14 16:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -11.95%E -4.98%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-14 16:10
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -12.68%E -5.33%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-14 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 34.81%EV -12.68%E -5.33%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.51%EV -14.15%E -5.90%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.68%EV -25.64%E -9.49%K -15.08%G +0.000%20.7%2026-06-14 16:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -13.78%E -5.87%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.85%EV -8.79%E -3.45%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-14 16:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.43%EV -13.78%E -5.87%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.91%EV -12.36%E -5.05%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.66%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-14 16:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-06-14 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-06-14 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-06-14 16:20
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-06-14 16:20